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Baseball Prospectus 2006: Statistics, Analysis, and Insight for the Information Age

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  • Anonymous

    Posted March 5, 2006

    Informative and entertaining tool for the avid baseball fan

    Once again, an informative and entertaining tool for the avid baseball fan. Once again, a tool that will be more rewarding to those who devote the time and effort to understand some of the specific jargon and instruments that the Baseball Prospectus folks use. In the 2006 edition we see that some of the inventors of these tools have been hard at work improving them (see Davenport, Silver, Woolner chapter), and we are shown excellent examples of the differences that some of the technical changes make, especially in the forecasts of young players and prospects (see chapter by Silver on PECOTA). Of course, in the area of forecasts, the real proof is in the pudding: does the updated PECOTA, for example, do a better job not only than the old PECOTA but also better than forecasts and projections by other outfits using different methods? This year¿s annual has responded to some of the complaints by readers in previous years: for example, it provides 2006 forecasts in certain statistical categories that the fantasy baseball player demands (e.g., RBI¿s, Wins), and the book explains why these stats require a different approach from some of the ¿pure ability¿ stats that BP has historically focused on. Along with an informative set of essays on every team¿s past year and current prospects, the annual provides forecasts and commentary on 1600 individual players and prospects, updated as of January 2006 (later updates to account for injuries and lineup changes are available for a registration fee on the BP website). And last but not least, we have a few original essays and analyses: on statistics vs. scouting (Huckabay), ¿win expectancy¿ (Woolner), and the business of baseball (Bahrlias). All in all, this book demonstrates what BP does best -- analysis -- while also being a terrific guide and look-up reference for those of us who are mainly just fans or interested in playing the game in our fantasies.

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