An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting: With Applications of SAS and SPSS / Edition 1

An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting: With Applications of SAS and SPSS / Edition 1

by Robert Alan Yaffee, Monnie McGee
     
 

ISBN-10: 0127678700

ISBN-13: 9780127678702

Pub. Date: 04/01/2000

Publisher: Elsevier Science

Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages—SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has

Overview

Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages—SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. To enhance the book's value as a teaching tool, the data sets and programs used in the book are made available on the Academic Press Web site. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques.

Key Features
• Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting
• Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology
• Free Web site contains the data used in most chapters, facilitating learning
• Math level pitched to general social science usage
• Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780127678702
Publisher:
Elsevier Science
Publication date:
04/01/2000
Series:
Time Series
Edition description:
New Edition
Pages:
528
Product dimensions:
1.19(w) x 6.14(h) x 9.21(d)

Table of Contents

Preface.
Introduction and Overview.
Extrapolative Models and Decomposition Models.
Introduction to Box-Jenkins Time Series Analysis.
The Basic ARIMA Model.
Seasonal ARIMA Models.
Estimation and Diagnosis.
Metadiagnosis and Forecasting. Intervention Analysis.
Transfer Function Models.
Autoregressive Error Models.
A Review of Model and Forecast Evaluation.
M. McGee, Power Analysis and Sample Size Determination for Well-Known Time Series Models.
Appendix A.
Glossary.
Index.

Customer Reviews

Average Review:

Write a Review

and post it to your social network

     

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

See all customer reviews >