Analysis and Management of Uncertainty: Theory and Applications

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Editorial Reviews

Thirty articles from the first International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, December 1990 at the U. of Maryland, discuss topics ranging from mathematical theories to the probabilistic analysis of structures in civil engineering. The theoretical considerations include the probabilistic and possibilistic conceptualization of uncertainty; the section on expert systems and neuronal structures includes discussions of expert appraisement and counter-appraisement with experton processes; among the engineering applications are predicting earthquake ground motion, rating bridges, and evaluating transmission lines. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (
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Product Details

Table of Contents

Table of Contents
List of Contributions
Biographical Information about the Editors
Pt. I Uncertainty: Theoretical Basis 1
1 Intelligence, Uncertainty and Information 3
2 Probabilistic Versus Possibilistic Conceptualization of Uncertainty 13
3 Induction and Uncertainty in Synergetic Computing Systems 27
4 Algebraic Structure of Conditional Reasoning 43
5 Belief Logic Systems 55
6 Fuzzy Set Theory, Probability Theory, and Truth Functionality 65
7 Uncertainty Modeling in Anticipatory Systems 79
8 Reasoning by Hypothesizing Causal Models 93
Pt. II Expert Systems and Neuronal Structures 107
9 Expert Appraisements and Counter-Appraisements with Experton Processes 109
10 An Approach to the Management of Uncertainty in Expert Systems 133
11 A Walk Through Fuzzy Relations and Their Application to Information Retrieval, Medical Diagnosis and Expert Systems 141
12 LIFE Fuzzy Expert System Shell 153
13 The Transferable Belief Model for Expert Judgements 165
14 Fuzzy Neural Expert System with Automated Extraction of Fuzzy If-Then Rules from a Trained Neural Network 171
15 Fuzzy Neural Network Approach to Control Systems 183
16 The Mechanism of Fuzzy Logic Controllers 199
17 Grasping 2-D Irregularly Moving Object Using Fuzzy Controlled Arm Robot 209
18 Inverse-Dynamics Adaptive Control (IDAC): A Neuronal Structure to Control Systems with Parameter Uncertainties 217
Pt. III Applications to Engineering Systems 233
19 Generalized Treatment of Uncertainties in Structural Engineering 235
20 Uncertainties in Risk-Based Inspection of Complex Systems 247
21 Real Time Prediction of Earthquake Ground Motions and Structural Responses by Statistics and Fuzzy Logic 263
22 An Engineering Approach to Subjective Uncertainty in Bridge Ratings 277
23 Multiobjective Decision Making with Fuzzy Problems for Infrastructure Investment Planning: A Case of Transportation Investment 303
24 A Random-Fuzzy Reliability Analysis of Engineering Systems 319
25 Fuzzy-Based Real-Time Control of Construction Activities 331
26 Bayesian Assessment of Modeling Uncertainties: Application to Fire Risk Assessment 351
27 Probabilistic Analysis of Structures with Vague Failure Modes 363
28 Safety and Reliability Evaluation of Existing Transmission Lines Using Fuzzy Set Theory 385
29 Optimizing Residential Photovoltaic System Size Using Approximate Reasoning 401
30 Entropy-Based Subjective Modification in the Evaluation of Existing Structures 415
Contributors Index 425
Subject Index 427
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