Analyzing Intelligence: Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations / Edition 2

Paperback (Print)
Rent from
(Save 75%)
Est. Return Date: 04/01/2015
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $11.36
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 62%)
Other sellers (Paperback)
  • All (14) from $11.36   
  • New (7) from $26.12   
  • Used (7) from $11.36   


This collaboration between GU Press and Georgetown's Center for Peace and Security Studies is an exposition and critique of US intelligence analysis. Drawing on the individual and collective experience of numerous intelligence experts, all of whom were career intelligence officers and some who now teach intelligence in the classroom, the 20 chapters explain how analysis has been conducted and how it can improve. There are six parts. The early chapters examine how intelligence analysis has evolved since its origins in the middle of the 20th century, focusing on traditions, culture, and, ultimately, its mixed track record. Middle parts examine how analysis supports the most senior national security and military policymakers, and how analysts must deal with the perennial challenges of politicization, analytical bias, and denial and deception. (Note distinction between Helms and Casey.) Why do analysts make mistakes? How can they perform better? In the final parts of the book contributors propose new ways to address perennial issues in warning analysis and emerging analytic issues like homeland defense; they suggest new forms of analytic collaboration in a global intelligence environment, and imperatives for the development of a new profession of intelligence analysis. This is key: The editors want to ensure that intelligence analysis becomes a professional discipline, more than a political consideration, with increased training and increased accountability. The book, which includes internal references to fellow chapters, is rife with examples of US intelligence successes and failures throughout the past 65 years: Pearl Harbor, the Cuban Missile Crisis, Vietnam, Central America, and, of course, 9/11, Afghanistan, and the Iraq WMD justification for the current war.
Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9781589012011
  • Publisher: Georgetown University Press
  • Publication date: 2/28/2014
  • Edition description: REV
  • Edition number: 2
  • Pages: 352
  • Sales rank: 162,944
  • Product dimensions: 6.90 (w) x 9.90 (h) x 1.00 (d)

Meet the Author

Roger Z. George is an adjunct professor at Georgetown University and is currently a senior analyst at the CIA's Global Futures Partnership. He is a career CIA intelligence analyst who has served at the Departments of State and Defense and has been the National Intelligence Officer for Europe. He has taught at the National War College and other private universities and is coeditor of Intelligence and the National Security Strategist: Enduring Issues and Challenges.

James B. Bruce is an adjunct professor at Georgetown University and a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation. He is a retired career CIA intelligence analyst who has served with the National Intelligence Council, within the Directorates of Intelligence and Operations, and has worked extensively with other intelligence community organizations. He has taught at the National War College and has authored numerous studies on intelligence and deception.

Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

PrefaceIntroduction: Intelligence Analysis -- The Emergence of a Discipline James B. Bruce and Roger Z. GeorgePart One: The Analytic Tradition 1. The Evolution of Intelligence Analysis John H. Hedley

2. The Track Record: CIA Analysis from 1950-2000 Richard J. Kerr

3. Is Intelligence Analysis a Discipline? Rebecca Fisher and Rob Johnston

Part Two: The Policy--Analyst Relationship4. Serving the National Policymaker John McLaughlin

5. The Policymaker's Perspective: Transparency and Partnership James B. Steinberg

6. Intelligence Analysis: Between "Politicization" and Irrelevance Gregory F. Treverton Part Three: Enduring Challenges7. The Art of Strategy and Intelligence Roger Z. George

8. Foreign Denial and Deception: Analytical Imperatives James B. Bruce and Michael Bennett

9. U.S. Military Intelligence Analysis: Old and New Challenges David Thomas Part Four: Diagnosis and Prescription 10. Why Bad Things Happen to Good Analysts Jack Davis11. Making Analysis More Reliable: Why Epistemology Matters to Intelligence James B. Bruce

12. The Missing Link: The Analyst-Collector Relationship James B. Bruce

Part Five: Leading Analytic Change13. Managing Analysis in the Information Age John C. Gannon

14. Intelligence in Transition: Analysis after September 11 and Iraq Mark M. Lowenthal15. The New Analysis Carmen A. Medina

Part Six: New Frontiers of Analysis 16. Computer-Aided Analysis of Competing Hypotheses Richards J. Heuer Jr.

17. Predictive Warning: Teams, Networks, and Scientific Method Timothy J. Smith

18. Homeland Security Intelligence: Rationale, Requirements, and Current Status Bruce Berkowitz

Conclusion: The Age of Analysis Roger Z. George and James B. Bruce

Glossary of Analytic TermsContributorsIndex

Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star


4 Star


3 Star


2 Star


1 Star


Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation


  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)