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This edited volume provides a comprehensive, systematic and innovative analysis of the missile threat/proliferation issue in the Middle East. The volume starts from the recognition of the pronounced security dilemma in the region. It is above all defined by the multi-faceted and in part overlapping conflict formations and by the constant arms build ups. Emphasizing the entire spectrum of missiles, including 'kitchen-madè unguided rockets launched by sub-state actors such as Hamas and Hezbollah, as well as the sophisticated guided (ballistic and cruise) missiles of major states, the book argues that the missile threat/proliferation problem can be reduced and eventually overcome only by a Cooperative Security Concept. Major elements within this framework are variants of arms control (Confidence- and Security-building Measures [CSBMs], reductions and the long-term vision of a Missile Free Zone [MFZ]). For such a strategy to be effective it will have to be implemented step by step. The Cooperative Security Concept will be politically acceptable to the key actors in the region only if it is perceived by them as a means which increases their security. In addition, vital interests of major extra-regional players will have to be taken into account. This assumption led to the following research question of this book: under which circumstances are gradual missile-related arms control steps feasible and politically acceptable? This book will be of much interest to students of arms control, Middle Eastern politics, Gulf Security, war and conflict studies, security studies and IR.
1. Introduction: Setting the Stage: Decreasing the Security Dilemma by Gradual Missile Reductions Bernd W. Kubbig Part I: Missiles and Their Proliferation as a Threat 2. Disarmament Efforts in the Region: Lessons from the Arms Control and Regional Security Talks Emily B. Landau and Dalia Dassa Kaye 3. Missiles in the Middle East: Their Destabilizing Role Dennis M. Gormley, Colin P. Clarke, and Jürgen Altmann Part II: Conditions for a Successful Step-by-Step Approach 4. Taking Overall Military Asymmetries into Account: Objections from the Arab World and Iran Bernd W. Kubbig, Mohamed Noman Galal, Michael Haas, Murhaf Jouejati, Sabahat Khan, Ahmed Saif, and Mahmood Sariolghalam 5. Taking Israel’s Security Interests into Account: Deterrence Policy in a Changing Strategic Environment Uri Bar-Joseph 6. Advancing the Control of Weapons of Mass Destruction: An Incremental Approach Gawdat Bahgat, Avner Cohen, Sven-Eric Fikenscher, Giorgio Franceschini, Bernd W. Kubbig, and Patricia Lewis 7. From (Potential) Spoilers to Guarantors? The Role of External Powers Sven-Eric Fikenscher, Patrick Flamm, Lina Golob, Bernd W. kubbig, and Christian Weidlich 8. The Verification Challenge: Concepts, Requirements, and Technologies Jürgen Scheffran, Bharath Gopalaswamy, Dennis M. Gormley, Bernd W. Kubbig, Uzi Rubin, and Hartwig Spitzer 9. The Prospects for Disarmament: The Case of Hezbollah Judith Palmer Harik and Walid Abu-Dalbouh 10. Designing Disarmament Strategies: The Case of Hamas Margret Johannsen, Ghassan Khatib, and Anat Kurz Part III: Three Milestones towards a Missile Free Zone 11. The Promise of Military Transparency: Building on Past Experiences and the UN Register of Conventional Arms Sven-Eric Fikenscher, Patrick Flamm, Lina Golob, Bernd W. Kubbig, and Christian Weidlich 12. The Missile Technology Control Regime, the Hague Code of Conduct, and Missile Proliferation Dinshaw Mistry and Mark Smith 13. Caps and Bans: Limiting, Reducing, and Prohibiting Missiles and Missile Defence Martin Senn, Jürgen Altmann, Bernd W. Kubbig, Jürgen Scheffran, Hans-Joachim Schmidt, and Oleg Shulga 14. Conclusion: The Stage Reconsidered: Findings, Concluding Remarks, and Research Perspectives Bernd W. Kubbig 15. Apendix: The Arsenals of Actors Relevant to a Missile Free Zone in the Middle East/Gulf Michael Haas and Bernd W. Kubbig (Compilers)