At the Crest of the Tidal Wave: A Forecast for the Great Bear Market / Edition 1

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Overview

This book reads like a thriller. It is a financial detective story with a touch of market romance. Just like Elliott Wave Principle, its super-bullish predecessor from 1978, this updated and abridged paperback version of At the Crest of the Tidal Wave presents a scenario that appears too dramatic and specific to be more than unfounded conjecture. However, the author's forecasting tool is again the only one that has proved its value in addressing future market probabilities. The result is social science at its best. If even half of the author's forecasts come to pass, the world of finance just a few years hence will be immeasurably different from what it is today. Using the same precise approach that he employed a month after the 1982 low at Dow 777 to forecast a great bull market that would carry the Dow Industrial Average to near 4000, Robert Prechter now calls for a slow motion economic earthquake that will register 11 on the financial Richter scale. The Great Asset Mania of recent years is in its final euphoric months, he says, and the next event will be a collapse of historic proportion. If you are already well versed in the Wave Principle and prepared for the change that is coming, then ignore this book. If you are not, then devour it cover to cover. Be prepared for a shift in the tectonic plates that make up your mind's notions about financial causality. Above all, get ready for a violent shaking of your faith in conventional economic wisdom.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"There is an old Arab proverb which says that "When you go shoppingfor wisdom, visit every tent in the bazaar." When Robert Prechterpublished his first book in 1978 predicting the super bull marketof the 1980's, only a very few people visited his tent. I hope morepeople visit his tent today, in order to understand the financial,economic and social implications of At the Crest of the TidalWave.", Marc Faber, , Faber Ltd, Hong Kong#"Robert Prechter andR.N. Elliot will be remembered as the two greatest socialscientists of this century for their understanding of masspsychology, markets and the economy.", Donald Evans, President,FX500 Money Management#"The icy logic and stunning originality withwhich Prechter predicts the impending death of our Grand BullMarket make At the Crest of the Tidal Wave eminently worthy ofattention. But the fact that years ago this author virtually stoodalone in prophesying the birth of this very same bull marketrenders his current vision absolutely indispensable to seriousinvestors.

", Paul Macrae Montgomery , , Legg Mason Wood Walker#"Recently Ifinished reading for the third time Charles Mackay's classic,Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, firstpublished in 1841. Not much has changed, and here we are at yetanother turning point in history... At the Crest of the Tidal Waveprobably will join Mackay's famous book as one of the mostprescient of the past 175 years.", Charles Allmon, President ,Growth Stock Outlook#"At the Crest of the Tidal Wave is a brilliantand important piece of long wave research with potentiallydevastating investment implications for the future.", Paul TudorJones II, President, Tudor Investment Corp#"The scholarlydiscipline, ultra long-term historical perspective, and topicaldiversity of Robert Prechter's discerning At the Crest of the TidalWave will challenge all serious investors to re-examine today's"buy and hold" mantra.", Henry Van der Eb, Chairman, Mathers Fund#

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780471979548
  • Publisher: Wiley
  • Publication date: 12/28/1997
  • Series: Investment Series
  • Edition description: ABR
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 336
  • Product dimensions: 5.96 (w) x 9.09 (h) x 0.87 (d)

Meet the Author

Robert R. Prechter, Jr. is author of several books on the market and editor of two monthly forecasting publications, The Elliott Wave Theorist and Global Market Perspective. During the 1980s, Robert Prechter's market calls were so consistently accurate that in December 1989, Financial News Network named him 'Guru of the Decade'. In 1990-1991 he served as President of the Market Technicians Association. In the 1990s, Mr Prechter has developed Elliott Wave International into a 24-hour analysis and forecasting firm that services institutional and private investors around the world. EWI provides long-term as well as on-line intraday analysis covering stock markets, currencies, interest rates, key commodities and social trends that is available via Bloomberg, Bridge, Dow Jones, DTN, Reuters, and the Internet. Mr. Prechter attended Yale University on a full scholarship and graduated in 1971 with a degree in psychology. He began his career as a Technical Market Specialist with the Merrill Lynch Market Analysis Department in New York City.

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgements

Introductory Note

Foreword

Chapter 1: Perspective

PART I: THE STOCK MARKET

Elliott Wave Analysis

Chapter 2: Patterns and Their Implications

Chapter 3: The Inflation-Adjusted Dow

Chapter 4: Comments on the Ultimate Price Peak

Chapter 5: Expectations for the Great Bear Market

Technical Analysis

Chapter 6: Momentum Considerations

Chapter 7: Investor Psychology: Valuation

Chapter 8: Manifestations of Investor Psychology

Chapter 9: The Role of Fundamentals

PART II: OTHER AREAS

Chapter 10: The Economy

Chapter 11: The Monetary Outlook

Chapter 12: High Grade Bonds

Chapter 13: How to Handle the Coming Environment

Appendix A: A Capsule Summary of the Wave Principle

Appendix B: The Message from Fixed Time Cycles

Appendix C: Illustrations Updated Through June 1997

Index

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