Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreasby Marcus Noland
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
- Peterson Institute for International Economics
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- Barnes & Noble
- NOOK Book
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What People are saying about this
. . . (This) encyclopedic coverage of the two Korean economies . . . will be widely read and cited.
(The paper is) the best I've seen on the subject.
Marcus Noland has managed to integrate the political and economic stories of both North and South Korea in one most useful volume. Given the Summit plans, which will be part of an ongoing and complex process, Noland's account offers especially timely insights and guidance.
Avoiding the Apocalypse is unique in its breadth and rigor, and essential reading for anyone interested in the future of Korea.
. . . Noland (provides us) with an eminently sensible and comprehensive guidebook in anticipation of Korean peninsula scenarios that are by definition extraordinarily uncertain.
Avoiding the Apocalypse . . . establishes Noland as one of the most important contemporary authorities on the Korean conundrum. It is original, powerful, and persuasive . . .
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