This book looks at the changing of the guard in 2006 and speculates on where the system may be heading in 2008. It provides an in-depth examination of the ways in which candidates, interest groups, and parties perceived their opportunities and allocated their campaign resources during the midterm elections. One of the first analyses of the 2006 congressional elections and the only one to combine coverage of key election themes including the war in Iraq, political scandal, and campaign finance reform. Examines many of the key competitive races in the 2006 congressional elections including some that will be instrumental in the 2008 elections as well: Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Colorado -site of the 2008 Democratic National Convention and a red state potentially swinging blue. Includes up-to-date and easy-to-read boxed features, tables, and figures with invaluable data for students, scholars, journalists, and legal experts. Demonstrates how the national mood does and does not sway the results of local elections.
David B. Magleby is nationally recognized for his expertise on direct democracy, voting behavior, and campaign finance. He received his B.A. from the University of Utah in 1973 and his Ph.D. from the University of California–Berkeley. Currently a Distinguished Professor of Political Science, Senior Fellow at the Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy, and Dean of the College of Family Home and Social Science at Brigham Young University, Professor Magleby has also taught at the University of California–Santa Cruz, and the University of Virginia.
From 1982 to 2000, Professor Magleby organized and directed the KBYU–Utah Colleges Exit Poll, a statewide poll involving the coordinated efforts of more than 600 students from eight Utah colleges and universities. Most recently, he has directed several major national studies of soft money and interest group issue advocacy in federal elections. During the 1998, 2000, and 2002 election cycle he worked with a consortium of scholars to monitor some of the most competitive U.S. House and Senate races. That research is summarized in his edited books, Outside Money: Soft Money and Issue Advocacy in the 1998 Congressional Elections (2000), The Other Campaign: Soft Money and Issue Advocacy in the 2000 Congressional Elections (2003), and The Last Hurrah? Soft Money and Issue Advocacy in the 2002 Congressional Elections (forthcoming). He has recently been awarded a grant from the Pew Charitable Trusts to conduct similar research in 2004.
Professor Magleby lives in Provo, Utah, with his wife, Linda. They are the parents of four children.
Kelly Patterson is Director of the Center for the Study of Elections Democracy and former chair of the Department of Political Science at Brigham Young University. He received his B.A. and M.A. from Brigham Young University and his Ph.D. from Columbia University. After teaching at Franklin and Marshall College from 1989 to 1993, Patterson came to Brigham Young University, where his research and teaching activities focus on American politics, political parties, Congress and elections, public opinion, quantitative methods, and political theory.
He is Coinvestigator on the 2004 CSED projects monitoring soft money and issue advocacy in competitive federal elections and will also be directing the KBYU–Utah Colleges Exit Poll. He is the author of Political Parties and the Maintenance of Liberal Democracy (Columbia University Press 1996) and editor of Contemplating the People’s Branch: Legislative Dynamics in the Twenty-First Century. His research articles have appeared in Political Research Quarterly, Public Opinion Quarterly, Political Behavior, and other research journals in political science. He is a former Congressional Fellow with the American Political Science Association.
Patterson and his wife, Jeanene, live in Salt Lake City with their two children, Andrew and Kate.
War Games: Issues and Campaign Finance in the Battle for Control of Congress David B. Magleby Kelly D. Patterson 1
Rules of Engagement: BCRA and Unanswered Questions David B. Magleby Kelly D. Patterson 22
Volatility and Volition: The Pendulum Swings High and Hard in Colorado's Seventh District Kyle L. Saunders Robert J. Duffy 62
Independent Actors and Coordinated Campaigns: The Indiana Ninth Congressional District Marjorie Randon Hershey Nicholas J. Clark 82
The Minnesota U.S. Senate Race and the Sixth Congressional District Race William H. Flanigan Kathryn Pearson Nancy H. Zingale 101
The 2006 Montana Senate Race Craig Wilson 125
Close, but Not Close Enough: Democrats Lose Again by the Slimmest Margin in New Mexico's First Congressional District Lonna Rae Atkeson Lorraine Tafoya 142
The Battle for Ohio 2006: The Democrats Strike Back Stephen Brooks Michael John Burton David B. Cohen Daniel Coffey Anne C. Hanson Stephen T. Mockabee John C. Green 167
The 2006 Pennsylvania Senate Race Robin Kolodny KyleKreider Stephen Medvic Daniel Shea 195
Pennsylvania's Sixth Congressional District Robin Kolodny Stephen Medvic 210
Conclusion David B. Magleby Kelly D. Patterson 224
Interviews Conducted by CSED Researchers 235
About the Editors and Contributors 239