Beating Murphy's Law [NOOK Book]

Overview

At what distance is it safer to drive than to fly? In which state will you live the longest? Die the soonest? What are your real risks of getting AIDS or herpes ... or pregnant? Which is more hazardous ... staying unmarried or smoking a pack a day? Eating peanut butter or living next to a nuclear power plant?

With every reward comes a risk....
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Beating Murphy's Law

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Overview

At what distance is it safer to drive than to fly? In which state will you live the longest? Die the soonest? What are your real risks of getting AIDS or herpes ... or pregnant? Which is more hazardous ... staying unmarried or smoking a pack a day? Eating peanut butter or living next to a nuclear power plant?

With every reward comes a risk. Don't gamble with your life. Find out how to get the odds in your favor.

FOOD RISKS.
Should you become a vegetarian or eat a steak? Should you choose organic or commercially grown produce? Should you go on a diet?

MEDICAL RISKS.
What should you know about a diagnostic X ray? What is the biggest health hazard in your home? How safe is sex with a condom?

TRAVEL RISKS
When should you walk or ride a bicycle? When should you get in a canoe or on a motorcycle? Which is safer -- a drive in the city or in the country?

GAMBLING RISKS
Can you win more often at craps or the progressive poker slot machine? Should you buy Federal bonds or junk bonds? When should you play the lottery?

Plus how to deal successfully with occupational, life-style, and residential risks.

Bob Berger is the expert when it comes to risk assessment. Now he tells you how to use the secrets the professionals already know -- probability theory, game theory, and the fascinating tool called the 2-by-2 box matrix -- to get the edge in every decision you make and to be a winner in life.

It's fun and profitable to know how to beat the odds at casino gambling or buying stocks. But it may be a matter of life and death to understand the margin of error in a medical diagnosis, the occupational hazards in the job you choose, and the chances of injury in playing your favorite sport.

At home or on the job, from the big choices to the scores of small ones you make every day, Bob Berger shows you how to be wiser in all that you do ... and how to help you catch your dreams.
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Editorial Reviews

Mary Carroll
Ignorance about risk science has been a major component of our national "innumeracy"; "Beating Murphy's Law" offers a relatively painless and enlightening corrective.
Stephen Advokat
... Bob Berger is ... the author of "Beating Murphy's Law," a witty, whimsical and thoroughly enjoyable autobiography that will introduce you to the normally dry topic of risk theory.
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Product Details

  • BN ID: 2940012760029
  • Publisher: Bantam Doubleday Dell Publishing Group
  • Publication date: 10/1/1994
  • Sold by: Barnes & Noble
  • Format: eBook
  • Pages: 221
  • Sales rank: 1,316,064
  • File size: 178 KB

Meet the Author

Bob Berger's articles on risk theory have been published in national magazines and newspapers. He is also the author of the Dr. Risk Mystery series, crime books that are narrated by a risk theorizing detective. In real life Bob has been a stock broker and a blackjack card-counter, has played piano professionally in spots like the Rainbow Room, has been an award-winning playwright, and has studied Yang style tai chi for twenty years.
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