Big Dragon: China's Future

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In Big Dragon, Dan Burstein, the bestselling author of Yen!, joins with China specialist Arne de Keijzer to offer the first comprehensive look at China and its future in the new post-Deng Xiaoping era. Big Dragon offers a practical blueprint for business people, policy makers, and concerned citizens alike as they contemplate new strategies for dealing with China - a nation that will be either America's partner or its adversary in the global order of the future. Neither Pollyannaish nor hawkish, the authors have a...
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1998 Hardcover First Edition New in New dust jacket 068480316x. Book and DJ are New, first edition, S-1, ; 1.4 x 9.5 x 6.4 Inches; 416 pages.

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Overview

In Big Dragon, Dan Burstein, the bestselling author of Yen!, joins with China specialist Arne de Keijzer to offer the first comprehensive look at China and its future in the new post-Deng Xiaoping era. Big Dragon offers a practical blueprint for business people, policy makers, and concerned citizens alike as they contemplate new strategies for dealing with China - a nation that will be either America's partner or its adversary in the global order of the future. Neither Pollyannaish nor hawkish, the authors have a powerful and perceptive grasp of the issues involved. They have been traveling to China, doing business in China, and writing about China since the early seventies. Big Dragon is based on their extensive research and firsthand encounters with Chinese leaders (including the late Deng Xiaoping), as well as the thinkers and entrepreneurs who are creating the new Chinese economic system.
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Editorial Reviews

Publishers Weekly - Publisher's Weekly
Diametrically opposing U.S. critics of China who recommend a strategy of isolation and containment, the authors want America to expand its trade and investment with the country as well as to offer technical support and intergovernmental exchanges to foster economic interdependence. For a start, they suggest that President Clinton should visit Beijing. This policy of "dynamic engagement," they contend, will ultimately benefit both the U.S. and China, which they expect will become the world's largest economy and the biggest manufacturer in the decades ahead. Investment banker Burstein (Yen!) and De Keijzer, a consultant to U.S. firms doing business in China, argue that the People's Republicmuch more open and modernized now than in the 1970s, when it was in the throes of Mao's Cultural Revolutionhas made dramatic progress on many fronts by allowing greater freedom of expression, unshackling a centralized economy and holding contested elections for thousands of local posts. They emphatically dispute those who view China as expansionist and inherently adversarial toward America. Clear writing, along with the authors' admission of assumptions and biases, makes this polemic a noteworthy contribution to the China debate. (Mar.)
Willy Wo-Lap Lam
"Indespensable for anyone who wants to know where China will be moving in the early 21st century. The authors have combined solid research with bold projections about the economic and political development of a nation that is undergoing cataclysmic changes." -- Asia Editor, South China Morning Post (Hong Kong)
Kirkus Reviews
A relentlessly upbeat forecast of China's future and the potential implications for the US. Private investment banker Burstein (Road Warriors, 1995, etc.) and de Keijzer, a business consultant involved in US-China business dealings, assess "the impact that China will have on the global balance of wealth and power in the twenty-first century" and are impressed. Their goal is to move discussion of the threats and opportunities China's growing economy will pose for American business in a more historically and culturally sensitive direction. Their motivation for this effort is straightforwardly reactive: A "new anti-China vogue" has infected American thinking and clouded judgments with groundless ideological biases. The excitement and optimism in the wake of Nixon's historic 1972 trip has been replaced by foreboding following the Tiananmen Square massacre, and hard-line perceptions of China have subsequently prevailed regarding issues as varied as human rights, Taiwan, and campaign finance. Burstein and de Keijzer argue that the government reaction to demonstrators in Tiananmen Square was not surprising given previous Chinese norms and that this incident shouldn't obscure the wide range of social and economic reforms that have taken place. We must stop trying to place China within preconceived Western notions and accept that it has a unique politico-economic system, what the authors term "the Confucian social market." By avoiding misconstrual of Chinese intentions—the authors predict, for example, that China will continue a long-term historical pattern of both flexing its muscles within Asia and refraining from projecting its force throughout the world in an effort to become aglobal power—we will be able to recognize and take advantage of the opportunities its development will produce and sustain a peaceful, mutually beneficial relationship with China. Despite a tendency by the authors to become cheerleaders for China, this is a reasoned survey of truly significant issues. (Author tour)
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780684803166
  • Publisher: Simon & Schuster
  • Publication date: 3/1/1998
  • Pages: 404
  • Product dimensions: 6.54 (w) x 9.57 (h) x 1.25 (d)

Table of Contents

Introduction: Present at the Creation 1
Pt. I Inside The New Cold War: Strategy and Management 9
Ch. 1 A New and Unnecessary Cold War Takes Shape 13
Ch. 2 The Eagle and the Dragon (I): From Clipper Ships to Tiananmen Square 28
Ch. 3 The Eagle and the Dragon (II): To the Brink 52
Ch. 4 Competing and Cooperating with the World's New Economic Superpower 83
Ch. 5 Threat or Challenge? 110
Pt. II Benchmarking China: The Shanghai Allusion 151
Ch. 6 Of Bulls, Bears, and Being Moderately Bullish 157
Ch. 7 China's Burdens 170
Ch. 8 Impossible Problems - and Possible Solutions 187
Ch. 9 The Impulse Toward Unity: The Geopolitical Meaning of the "Middle Kingdom" 210
Ch. 10 "Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones" 220
Pt. III Jumping into the Sea: A Thousand Rivers 229
Ch. 11 Zhang Wei: Finding Answers to the Question of Ownership 233
Ch. 12 Chen Ping: The Adventurer 240
Ch. 13 Feng Lun: Master Builder 248
Pt. IV Geomancing the Dragon: Wind and Water 263
Ch. 14 The Next Five Years: The Dragon at Home 265
Ch. 15 The Next Five Years: The Dragon Peers Out 284
Ch. 16 Scenarios for the Twenty-first Century 311
Ch. 17 Fast-Forward to the Future: The Superdragon in 2024 341
Pt. V Beyond the Cold War: The Past, the Future, and a Talk with Deng Xiaoping 351
Ch. 18 The New Shanghai Compact: Maximizing Opportunity, Minimizing Conflict 355
Notes 375
Acknowledgments 387
Index 391
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