Change and Continuity in the 2000 and 2002 Elections / Edition 1

Change and Continuity in the 2000 and 2002 Elections / Edition 1

by Paul R. Abramson, David W. Rohde, John H. Aldrich, John H. Aldrich
     
 

Political scientists from Duke and Michigan State Universities analyze the results of the United States federal elections for 2000 and 2002. Utilizing voter survey and campaign result data collected since the 1940s, they place the contests within the context of general voting and campaign patterns in the country. Exploring voting behavior in general, they discuss… See more details below

Overview

Political scientists from Duke and Michigan State Universities analyze the results of the United States federal elections for 2000 and 2002. Utilizing voter survey and campaign result data collected since the 1940s, they place the contests within the context of general voting and campaign patterns in the country. Exploring voting behavior in general, they discuss voter demographics, attitudes towards issues and candidates, and party loyalties and preferences. That framework is then applied to the 2000 and 2002 presidential and congressional elections. Annotation ©2003 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9781568027425
Publisher:
Congressional Quarterly, Inc.
Publication date:
01/28/2003
Series:
Change and Continuity Series
Edition description:
Older Edition
Pages:
372
Product dimensions:
6.38(w) x 8.96(h) x 0.70(d)
Age Range:
18 Years

Table of Contents

Tables and Figuresvii
Prefacexi
Part 1The 2000 Presidential Election1
1The Nomination Struggle12
Who Ran13
The Rules of the Nomination System17
Why Bush Won23
Why Gore Won25
The Conventions27
2The General Election Campaign31
The Strategic Context and the Candidates' Choices31
From Labor Day to the Debates33
The Debates: The Republicans Surpass Low Expectations36
Final Efforts38
Did the Campaign Matter?43
3The Election Results46
The Election Rules51
The Pattern of Results53
State-by-State Results56
Electoral Change in the Postwar South61
The Electoral-Vote Balance63
Part 2Voting Behavior in the 2000 Presidential Election67
4Who Voted?71
Turnout from 1828 through 192071
Turnout from 1920 through 200074
Turnout among Social Groups77
Why Has Turnout Declined?84
Does Low Turnout Matter?91
5Social Forces and the Vote96
How Social Groups Voted in 200097
How Social Groups Voted During the Postwar Years106
Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down119
6Candidates, Issues, and the Vote121
Attitudes toward the Candidates122
Retrospective and Prospective Evaluations128
The Concerns of the Electorate130
Issue Positions and Perceptions132
Issue Voting Criteria135
Apparent Issue Voting in 2000139
Conclusion148
7Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice149
What Is Retrospective Voting?150
Evaluations of Government Performance153
Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent156
Evaluations of the Incumbent161
The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations161
Conclusion166
8Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote168
Party Identification: The Standard View168
Party Identification: An Alternative View169
Party Identification in the Electorate170
Party Identification and the Vote176
Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations178
Conclusion189
Part 3The 2000 and 2002 Congressional Elections193
9Candidates and Outcomes in 2000198
Election Outcomes in 2000198
Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes209
The 2000 Elections: The Impact on Congress220
The 2002 Elections and Beyond227
10The Congressional Electorate in 2000238
Social Forces and the Congressional Vote238
Issues and the Congressional Vote242
Party Identification and the Congressional Vote243
Incumbency and the Congressional Vote244
The Congressional Vote as a Referendum246
Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote248
Conclusion250
11The 2002 Congressional Elections252
The Pattern of Outcomes252
Assessing Victory and Explaining the Results254
National and Local Influences in Congressional Elections258
The 2002 Elections: The Impact on Congress269
The 2004 Elections and Beyond273
Part 4The 2000 and 2002 Elections in Perspective279
12The 2000 and 2002 Elections and the Future of American Politics282
Prospects for the Democrats286
Prospects for the Republicans290
Prospects for a New Political Party293
Prospects for Continued Electoral Volatility295
Notes297
Suggested Readings349
Index359

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