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We offer this book neither as futurists nor as experts on China, but as practitioners of the art of scenario planning. We cannot predict the future. No one can. Nor can we know enough about China to chart its direction with certainty. But in the face of these two vast imponderables, China and the future, we can apply the art and science of scenario planning to grapple with their combined and compounded uncertainties in a methodical and useful way.
J.O. and P.S.
Introduction: China in the 21st Century: The World's Biggest Story.
THE WAY OF CHINA.
The Worms in the Core.
SCENARIOS OF THE FUTURE OF CHINA.
An Introduction of Scenarios and Development Models.
Scenario One: China Web.
Scenario Two: The New Mandarins.
Scenario Three: The Thief of Beijing.
IMPLICATIONS HOW TO USE THESE SCENARIOS FOR OUR CHILDREN.