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Summary for policymakers; Technical summary; 1. The climate system - an overview; 2. Observed climate variability and change; 3. The carbon cycle and atmospheric CO2; 4. Atmospheric chemistry and greenhouse gases; 5. Aerosols, their direct and indirect effects; 6. Radiative forcing of climate change; 7. Physical climate processes and feedbacks; 8. Model evaluation; 9. Projections of future climate change; 10. Regional climate simulation - evaluation and projections; 11. Changes in sea level; 12. Detection of climate change and attribution of causes; 13. Climate scenario development; 14. Advancing our understanding; Glossary; Index; Appendix.