Death of the West: How Dying Populations and Immigrant Invasions Imperil Our Country and Civilizationby Patrick J. Buchanan
The national bestseller that shocked the nation--The Death of the West is an unflinching look at the increasing decline in Western culture and power.
The West is dying. Collapsing birth rates in Europe and the U. S., coupled with population explosions in Africa, Asia and Latin America are set to cause cataclysmic shifts in world power, as unchecked/i>
The national bestseller that shocked the nation--The Death of the West is an unflinching look at the increasing decline in Western culture and power.
The West is dying. Collapsing birth rates in Europe and the U. S., coupled with population explosions in Africa, Asia and Latin America are set to cause cataclysmic shifts in world power, as unchecked immigration swamps and polarizes every Western society and nation.
The Death of the West details how a civilization, culture, and moral order are passing away and foresees a new world order that has terrifying implications for our freedom, our faith, and the preeminence of American democracy.
The Death of the West is a timely, provocative study that asks the question that quietly troubles millions: Is the America we grew up in gone forever?
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Death of the West
How Dying Populations and Immigrant Invasions Imperil Our Country and Civilization
By Patrick J. Buchanan
St. Martin's PressCopyright © 2002 Patrick J. Buchanan
All rights reserved.
Europeans are a vanishing species.
— London Times
The most important single new certainty — if only because there is no precedent for it in all of history — is the collapsing birthrate in the developed world.
— Peter F. Drucker
As a growing population has long been a mark of healthy nations and rising civilizations, falling populations have been a sign of nations and civilizations in decline. If that holds true, Western civilization, power and wealth aside, is in critical condition. For, like the Cheshire Cat, the people of the West have begun to fade away.
As late as 1960, European people, including Americans, Australians, and Canadians, numbered 750 million, one-fourth of the 3 billion people alive. Western nations were in the baby boom of the century. Shorn of their empires, the wounds of war healed, they seemed alive with vitality. Indeed, neo-Malthusians were bewailing the population explosion, warning darkly that the earth's resources and land were running out. They were laughed at. By 2000, however, no one was laughing.
While world population had doubled to six billion in forty years, the European peoples had stopped reproducing. Their populations had begun to stagnate and, in many countries, had already begun to fall. Of Europe's forty-seven nations, only one, Muslim Albania, was, by 2000, maintaining a birthrate sufficient to keep it alive indefinitely. Europe had begun to die.
The prognosis is grim. Between 2000 and 2050, world population will grow by more than three billion to over nine billion people, but this 50 percent increase in global population will come entirely in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, as one hundred million people of European stock vanish from the earth.
In 1960, people of European ancestry were one-fourth of the world's population; in 2000, they were one-sixth; in 2050, they will be one-tenth. These are the statistics of a vanishing race. A growing awareness of what they portend has induced a sense of foreboding, even panic, in Europe.
In 2000, the total population of Europe, from Iceland to Russia, was 728 million. At present birthrates, however, without new immigration, her population will crash to 600 million by 2050. That is the projection of World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision Highlights released by the authoritative UN Population Division on February 28, 2001. Another study has Europe's population plummeting to 556 million by midcentury. The last time Europe's population showed a drop of this magnitude was during the Black Plague of 1347-52. Economics professor Jacqueline Kasun of Humboldt State University in California, author of War Against Population, considers today's birth dearth an even graver crisis:
With a plague like the [fourteenth-century] Black Death, maybe a third of Europe died, but it took the elderly as well as the young. ... But this plunging fertility takes only the young. A couple still has parents and grandparents to support, directly or through their taxes. Since they've got fewer or no siblings to share that burden, having children seems even more unaffordable. So how do you dig your way out of a hole like a shrinking population?
Excellent question, and if Europe does not find the answer soon, Europe dies. How bleak is the situation? Of the twenty nations with the lowest birthrates in the world, eighteen are in Europe. The average fertility rate of a European woman has fallen to 1.4 children, with 2.1 needed just to replace the existing population. Says columnist Ben Wattenberg: This does not mean ZPG (Zero Population Growth), this means ZP — Zero Population.
Americans in NATO will soon be defending a vast Leisure World.
If the present fertility rates hold, Europe's population will decline to 207 million by the end of the twenty-first century, less than 30 percent of today's. The cradle of Western civilization will have become its grave.
Why is this happening? Socialism, the beatific vision of European intellectuals for generations, is one reason. "If everyone has the promise of a state pension, children are no longer a vital insurance policy against want in old age," argues Dr. John Wallace of Bologna's Johns Hopkins University: "If women can earn more than enough to be financially independent, a husband is no longer essential. And if you can also have sex and not babies — and this seems to be true now of Catholic Italy as it is of secular Britain — why marry?"
By freeing husbands, wives, and children of family responsibilities, European socialists have eliminated the need for families. Consequently, families have begun to disappear. When they are gone, Europe goes with them. But as Europe is dying, the Third World adds one hundred million people — one new Mexico — every fifteen months. Forty new Mexicos in the Third World by 2050, while Europe will have lost the equivalent of the entire population of Belgium, Holland, Denmark, Sweden, Norway — and Germany! Absent divine intervention, or a sudden desire on the part of Western women to begin having the same-size families as their grandmothers, the future belongs to the Third World. As T. S. Eliot wrote in "The Hollow Men": "This is the way the world ends / Not with a bang but a whimper."
"There are twenty million Germans too many!" muttered Georges Clemenceau, the "Tiger of France" and the statesman most responsible for the Versailles Treaty, which stripped Germany of her colonies, a tenth of her land, and an eighth of her people. Clemenceau's hatred is understandable. As Alistair Horne writes in his history of the fall of the Third Republic, "Clemenceau had been one of the deputies to protest against the surrender of Alsace-Lorraine in 1871, and had narrowly escaped being lynched in the civil war that followed with the Commute." He had witnessed the dethronement of his emperor and seen a German kaiser crowned at Versailles. In the Great War, he had seen his beloved France ravaged by the armies of Hindenburg and Ludendorff which had left behind the bodies of 1.5 million Frenchmen when they marched home to the Reich.
In fifty years, the Tiger will have his revenge, for German women are refusing to have children. For ten years, Germany's birthrate has stood at 1.3 children per woman, far below the 2.1 needed to replace the present population. Here is the future that is now hard upon the German nation. By 2050:
Twenty-three million Germans will have disappeared.
Germany's eighty-two million people will have fallen to fifty-nine million.
The number of German children under fifteen will have dropped to 7.3 million.
A third of Germany's population will be over sixty-five. These seniors will outnumber German children more than two to one.
Germany's total population will be two-thirds of I percent of the world's population, and only 1 of every 150 people on earth will be a German. And Germans will be among the oldest people on earth.
At the request of the author, Joseph Chamie, director of the UN's Population Division, projected the population of several European nations out to 2100. If the present German birthrate is sustained and immigration is zero, Germany's population will fall from 82 million to 38.5 million by century's end, a drop of 53 percent. The Bavarian conservative and potential chancellor Edmund Stoiber considers Germany's birthrate a "ticking time bomb." He urges a tripling of the child allowance for the first three years of life. Today, Germany pays monthly subsidies of $140 a child for the first two, more for a third. Stoiber's idea is called radical today; it will not be tomorrow.
"My reason for not having kids is that I like to sleep. I read a lot, and 1 can sleep throughout the night," says Gabrielle Thanheiser, thirty-four, a banker in Berlin vacationing in Rome with her live-in boyfriend. "We are DINKS," confirmed Andreas Gerhmann, thirty-seven, using the acronym popular even in Germany for "double income, no kids" couples. In the long run, the self-indulgence of DINKS like Gerhmann and Thanheiser may prove more fateful for the German people than the Third Reich.
With the fall of the Berlin Wall, West German chancellor Helmut Kohl sought to reunify his country after forty-five years of Cold War division. In Britain, Russia, France, even in the United States, were heard anguished cries that the world could not trust a united Germany. Twice, Germany had tried to conquer Europe, it was protested. What guarantee have we that a united Germany will not march again on Europe?
This is one worry the West can lay to rest. With the German people aging and dying, with five million fewer German children expected in 2050 than are alive in 2000, Germany, like the old soldier of General MacArthur's ballad, is about to "just slowly fade away."
ITALY, A THEME PARK
Prospects for the Italian race, which gave us Rome and all its glory, St. Peter's and the Sistine Chapel, Dante and Michelangelo, Columbus and Galileo, are even more dire. Italy's birthrate has been below replacement levels for twenty-five years and is down to 1.2 children per woman. At this rate, Italy's fifty-seven million people will fall to forty-one million by 2050. Writes population researcher Nicholas Eberstadt of American Enterprise Institute: "Barely 2 percent of the [Italian] population in 2050 would be under five years old, but more than 40 percent would be 65 or older." The birthrate in "that most Catholic and romantic of nations," adds New Republic's Greg Easterbrook, "means that Italy will be a theme park in a few generations."
A recent survey in the popular "semifeminist" magazine Noi Donne found that 52 percent of Italian women between sixteen and twenty-four planned to have no children. "Career" was their principal reason for not wanting any kids. University of Rome demographer Antonio Golini says that the nation is already dependent upon immigrants to bear the load of its deeply indebted pension system. But now Italian culture is at risk. Golini believes, "Italy will no longer be Italian. ... It will be the end of society as we know it."
Golini was called a "demographic terrorist" twenty years ago, when he first warned of Italy's impending population crisis. He is called that no longer, though Dr. Golini remains deeply pessimistic about his country: "In an increasingly globalized labor market, Italy must compete with France, with the United States, with India. How can we, with such an aged society and so few young people?"
Cardinal Giacomo Biffi of Bologna has called on Rome to restrict immigration to Catholics to "save the nation's identity," raising eyebrows with his remark that Muslims have "different food, festivals, and family morals." But where does His Eminence propose to find these Catholics?
Certainly not in Spain, where in the days of the Caudillo, Gen. Francisco Franco, big families were sacred and received medals and gifts from the state. The Spanish birthrate is the lowest in all Europe, lower than that of Italy, the Czech Republic, or Romania, all of which have fallen to 1.2 children per woman. In Spain, the birthrate is down to 1.07 children per woman, and the population is projected to fall by 25 percent in fifty years as the number of Spaniards over sixty-five soars by 117 percent. "In one generation we have gone from a society in which families of eight or even 12 children were not unusual to one in which childless couples are common, or people think long and hard about having a second child," says Madrid sociologist Victor Perez Diaz.By 2050, the median age in Italy will be fifty-four and in Spain fifty-five, fourteen years above the median age of Japan, the oldest nation on earth today.
"Prosperity has strangled us," says Dr. Pierpaolo Donati, a leading Catholic intellectual and professor of sociology at the University of Bologna. "Comfort is now the only thing anybody believes in. The ethic of sacrifice for a family — one of the basic ideas of human societies — has become a historical notion. It is astonishing."
In 1950, Spain had three times as many people as Morocco across the Strait of Gibraltar. By 2050, Morocco's population will be 50 percent larger. If one hundred Spanish young people marry today, they can expect to have fifty-eight children, thirty-three grandchildren, but only nineteen great-grandchildren.
What of the late command post of a Soviet Empire that shook the world for seventy years? With a birthrate of 1.35 children per woman, Russia's 147 million people will fall to 114 million by 2050, a greater loss than the 30 million dead attributed to Stalin. The number of children in Russia under fifteen will have fallen from 26 to 16 million, while today's 18 million seniors will have grown to 28 million.
In December 2000, however, more ominous news came in. Russia's birthrate had already plummeted to 1.17 children, below Italy's. Its population had fallen to 145 million; one estimate had it headed to 123 million by 2015. "If you believe the forecasts made by serious people who have devoted their whole lives to studying this question," warns President Putin, "in 15 years' time there will be 22 million fewer Russians. Just think about that figure — it's a seventh of [Russia's] population." A loss of 22 million Russians in fifteen years would be greater than all the Soviet Union's losses in the Hitler-Stalin war. Putin went on to add ominously, "If the present tendency continues, there will be a threat to the survival of the nation."
Life expectancy for Russian men is now fifty-nine, and two of every three pregnancies in Russia are terminated before birth. Russian women average 2.5 to 4 abortions each, and Russia's death rate is now 70 percent higher than the birthrate. Even the return of millions of Russians from the former Soviet republics cannot offset the dying. Most ominous for the largest nation on earth, the population of vast, vacant Siberia is in a steep decline as China's enormous population swells inexorably.
When the deputy speaker of the state duma, the rabid nationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky, advanced such ideas as polygamy, allowing every Russian male to have five wives, plus a ten-year ban on abortion and a prohibition on Russian women traveling abroad, his ideas were ridiculed and his population bills hooted down. But the life crisis of Russia cannot be dismissed, and the geostrategic implications for America are ominous.
Mr. Chamie projected Russia's population, at present birthrates with zero immigration, out to the century's end, and came up with fewer than eighty million Russians in 2100, roughly the population of the United States when Theodore Roosevelt left office in 1909.
What does the future hold for the cousins?
"Demographers have calculated that by the end of this century the English people will be a minority in their homeland. The English are not having enough children to reproduce themselves," writes the syndicated columnist Paul Craig Roberts. This is the first time in history, says the London Observer, "that a major indigenous population has voluntarily become a minority, rather than through war, famine or disease"
The Observer is mistaken. The honor of being the first nation to voluntarily turn its majority indigenous population into a minority will go to the United States. President Clinton predicted it would happen by 2050, half a century before Great Britain. But the British are clearly heading in the same direction. Ethnic minorities already constitute 40 percent of London's population, and, as Lee Jasper, the race relations adviser to the mayor of London, states, "The demographics show that white people in London will become a minority by 2010."
Among the reasons is the steadily falling birthrate among nativeborn British. In 2000, there were 17,400 fewer births in England and Wales than in 1999, a drop of almost 3 percent, and the fertility rate fell to 1.66 births per woman, the lowest since statistics began to be kept in 1924.
Of the twenty-two nations with the lowest birthrates, only two are outside Europe — Armenia and Japan, the first Asian nation to enter the modern era.
Not until 1868 did Japan break out of her isolation. But within thirty years this dynamic nation was a rival of the Western powers. Japan had defeated China, colonized Taiwan, and in 1900 sent her soldiers to march beside Europeans and Americans to relieve the diplomatic legations in Peking besieged by the Chinese rebels known as "the Boxers." The Russo-Japanese War (1904-5) was the first in which an Asian people defeated a great Western power. Begun with a surprise attack on the Russian naval squadron at Port Arthur, the war ended in one of the most decisive battles in history, the sinking of the czar's Baltic fleet in the Straits of Tsushima in thirty-six hours by Admiral Togo.
Excerpted from Death of the West by Patrick J. Buchanan. Copyright © 2002 Patrick J. Buchanan. Excerpted by permission of St. Martin's Press.
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Meet the Author
Patrick J. Buchanan, a senior advisor to three American presidents, ran twice for the Republican nomination for president in 1992 and 1996, and was the Reform Party's presidential candidate in 2000. The author of five other books, including the bestsellers Right from the Beginning and A Republic, Not an Empire, he is a syndicated columnist and a founding member of three of America's foremost public affairs shows, NBC's The McLaughlin Group, CNN's The Capitol Gang, and Crossfire.
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Anyone who shops at the local grocery store in the 'ghetto' knows this book speaks facts. Mr. Buchanan is totally accurate when he says the West is dying. Savages will inherit the Earth if decent people don't wake up soon. America will fall and the world will enter into a new dark age. Those who breed will have the planet for themselves. This is a shocking call to christian women to have more children now or the children you do have will grow up in a Muslim world.
To be honest, I'm not even a right wing conservative and I agree with Pat Buchanan on this matter. America is divided into too many subcultures that seperate the people. American culture is dying because liberals point out mistakes that have been made in our history therefore, these flaws have been used against this great country in a destructive way.
Buchanan seems to have a lot of good things to say, but i think he is slightly less objective than he should be in this situation.
'The Death of the West' by Patrick Buchanan is a courageous look at society in contemporary America. Buchanan does a great job of arguing his case against faithless morals and unquestioned immigration. The constant use of quotes was a bit repetitive but overall 'Death of the West' is a superb read. I definitely recommend it. Of course, one should not swallow everything they read whole, but Buchanan's work is without doubt THOUGHT PROVOKING. I think many would agree that a 'family wage' should be explored again. Thanks Pat!!!
Mr. Buchanan certainly shows his genius throughout this entire book. So much of what he reports upon is accurate and can be seen on a daily basis if you just open your eyes and look! America is crumbling around us, and we still have time to do something about it if we so choose. I challenge everyone to read this book and fight for the basic American values that are quickly going the way of history, ones our children will never know of! Hurry, before it is too late!!!!!!!
What is most interesting about those who disagree with Mr. Buchannan is the absence of any argument by them that the trends he describes in the book are erroneous. They do to Buchannan what they have always done with him. They call him names! My advice to those who dislike Mr. Buchannan is this: either disprove his thesis or avoid embarrassing yourself by resorting to name calling. It doesn't work. People of the political left have been slandering him for years and he's more popular than ever. If you can offer a reasonable counter argument to his position then by all means do so but please spare us the name calling. It may make you feel good but it hasn't worked in the past and it won't work now. I encourage everyone to buy this book without delay.
Not being a reader with a lot of political interest, I found this book definately a fascinating read. I appreciate how the author gives documented references to the statistics in the book. Definately gives one the answers to many a questions, usually not found in typical news formats. This book gives me a new-found interest in current affairs/political issues.
Patrick Buchanan could do a lot better. He focuses on stats of the White-skinned Westerners not having children in their homelands as one major reason for the decline of the West. He does not really discuss why Whites do not have children, but rambles on the possibilities such as women wanting careers, but then who would be upset with such as Marie Curie? He suggests that maybe lack of religious conviction could be the reason as those with many icons have more children [but many consider religions superstitions and superstitious people are usually poor and poor often have more children] and presents no stats. Yet, he also writes that Red China [a Marxist state that does not adhere to religion] has many children even with a forced one child policy and poses a threat of a takeover of Russia. Every thing has a right to self determination. Buchanan raises many serious questions but does not answer them, or he answers them with conflicting views. He mentions terrible politics in Russia and N. Sharansky, but does not delve more into it. His book touches on serious matters, but does not further investigate or offer serious answers. The decline of the American schools is mentioned. Yet, racism could be the reason since the elementary and high school textbooks and curriculum have not been updated to "Barrons" standard leaving students in the vague, and even in NYC, city college tuition became installed after more minorities enrolled and made education unafforable to many. It could be argued that Whites still do not want minorities or themselves to recieve a decent education or have self-determination, but Buchanan does not look at any angle but that Whites are dying out as though they have the most to offer, but perhaps they make it look that way through oppression. That is, the White leadership is oppressive is a possibility for the decline in the numbers of Whites in those ranks. He barely examines this. He mentions Hollywood as a possible reason for social problems, but Hollywood has always been cheap. It is so called entertainment, and people do not have to watch it. His discussion of masculine female characters such as Ripley in Aliens does not explain the egg producing mother Alien itself as no more such feisty a female has ever been in a scifi film perhaps. The Alien female has a right to self determination. He mentions possible reverse racism, and hate crimes, but does not delve into the disease of racism in general. He isolates NYT's Susan Sontag as some sort of creature from hippieland. Though, he seems to be hung on the ruling class of Whites and not the average White that just tries to survive--he might see they have children and die in coal mines. Not enough stats in some areas such as these. I would consider this work a chapter in a book not a whole book itself. It really reeks of white superiority problems. He does not examine "angry White men," or Christians that use barbed wire or "devil's rope" in many senses. He does not mention the horrosr the Whites have done to the environment--the murder of millions of birds, flora and fauna, etc. Most are taught by parents to clean up their own room, but how come they do not so far clean up the mess in the environment--a natural progression. He does not mention some of the horrors of the White leadership that at one point did not believe in sterilizing medical instruments for surgical operations. He looks at a fairy tale view of Whitedom in some instances. Normally, I would not read a book such as this even after it has been much publicised, but a relative of mine left it laying around.
Buchanan writes of an America in moral and physical decay. He thinly veils racist attitudes towards minorities in America as a righteous reclaiming of the land that belongs to Europeans. He forgets to examine that Europeans swiped the land from the natives in the first place, then wants to deny 'immigrant invasions' from taking the land from his white forefathers? He seems to forget that European Puritans fled to America to escape persecution and dubbed America the 'New World.' Now he wishes to protect the 'vanishing breed' of Europeans, by denying entrance to others who are seeking a better life, just as Buchanan's forefathers had. Has he forgotten the mantra for which our statue of liberty stands?