Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs: Proceedings of the Fifth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Darmstadt, 1-4 September, 1975 / Edition 1

Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs: Proceedings of the Fifth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Darmstadt, 1-4 September, 1975 / Edition 1

by H. Jungermann
     
 

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9789027708557
Publisher:
Springer Netherlands
Publication date:
09/30/1977
Series:
Theory and Decision Library Series, #16
Edition description:
1977
Pages:
528
Product dimensions:
9.21(w) x 6.14(h) x 1.25(d)

Table of Contents

I: Approaches to Real-Life Situations: Problems of Improvement.- Editors’ Introduction.- Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking.- Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking/Comments.- The Use of Credible Intervals in Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results.- Decisions Concerning Job Choice.- The Application of Multi-Attribute Utility Models to some Uncertain Decision Situations in Areas of Business and Public Policy.- Influence of Attribute Formulation on the Evaluation of Apartments by Multi-Attribute Utility Procedures.- Modelling Preferences among Distributions Using Fuzzy Relations.- Subjective Probability Elicitation: A Comparison of Performance Variables.- Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assessment.- The Psychology of the Ouija Board.- II: Analysis and Improvement of Models and Methods.- Editors’ Introduction.- Application of Multi-Attribute Utility Theory 165.- Applications of Multi-Attribute Utility Theory/Comments.- “Motivational” Components of Utility.- Methods for Aggregating Opinions.- Methods for Aggregating Opinions/Comments.- The Continuous Ranked Probability Score in Practice.- Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art.- Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art/Comments.- Consistency of Future Event Assessments.- A Study of Intransitive Preferences Using a Think Aloud Procedure.- III: Perspectives for Further Inquiry in Decision Theory.- Editors’ Introduction.- Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs.- Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs/Comments.- Decision Making and Cognition.- Decision Making and Cognition/Comments.- Cognitive Functions in Decision Making.- Optimal Policies, Degradation, and Cognition.- Optimal Policies, Degradation, and Cognition/Comments.- Decision Making and Numerical Structuring.- Bayesian Statistics and Efficient Information Processing Constrained by Probability Models.- Praxiology and Decision Theory.- Cultural Differences in Viewing Uncertainty and Assessing Probabilities.- Index of Names.

Read More

Customer Reviews

Average Review:

Write a Review

and post it to your social network

     

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

See all customer reviews >