The East-West Pendulum

Overview

The East-West Pendulum provides a thought-provoking and thoroughly researched analysis of the recent rapid development of capital markets in the Asia-Pacific region. The Hon. Robert Lloyd George looks at the history, culture, and religious beliefs of the people of each country in the area and he explains how they have reacted to contact with the West during the past century. He examines the current economic situation of each country in the Asia-Pacific region and forecasts their...

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Overview

The East-West Pendulum provides a thought-provoking and thoroughly researched analysis of the recent rapid development of capital markets in the Asia-Pacific region. The Hon. Robert Lloyd George looks at the history, culture, and religious beliefs of the people of each country in the area and he explains how they have reacted to contact with the West during the past century. He examines the current economic situation of each country in the Asia-Pacific region and forecasts their growth during the next ten years.

The first part of the book gives an overview of Asian economic and political history. This is followed by an analysis of risks and rewards in individual countries. These chapters are succeeded by a discussion of emerging capital markets in Asia. The book ends with a forecast of the economic scenario to the year 2000. The East-West Pendulum provides an invaluable frame of reference for bankers, fund managers, stockbrokers and independent financial advisers as well as historians and students of Asia.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780899307787
  • Publisher: Greenwood Publishing Group, Incorporated
  • Publication date: 5/19/1992
  • Pages: 160
  • Product dimensions: 6.10 (w) x 9.10 (h) x 0.70 (d)

Meet the Author

ROBERT LLOYD GEORGE, great-grandson of the former British prime minister David Lloyd George, was educated at Eton, where he was a King's Scholar, and at Oxford. He has spent the past ten years in Hong Kong and from 1984 to 1991 he was Managing Director of Indosuez Asiz Investment Services Limited where, from small beginnings, he built a business with U.S. $1 billion under management. He has established a number of Asian country funds, including Asian Growth Fund (1986), the Siam Fund (1988), the Malacca Fund (1989), and the Himalayan Fund (1990), and is a recognized authority on Asia's emerging capital markets. In January 1992, he launched an independent investment management company, Lloyd George Management Limited, based in Hong Kong, to advise investors on developing Asian markets. Robert Lloyd George is the author of A Guide to Asian Stockmarkets (1989), and he has lectured widely on this subject.

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Table of Contents

List of figures and tables
Preface
Acknowledgements
1 Introduction to the East-West pendulum 1
The East-West index 1
Asian religions and philosophies 5
Asian technology and economies 7
2 The roots of Chinese culture 13
Background to Chinese culture 13
Chinese emigration 15
The Chinese family 23
The future for the Chinese 25
3 Differing responses to the West 28
China 28
Japan 29
Thailand 36
Korea 37
Indonesia 39
Malaysia/Singapore 39
The Philippines 40
4 Risk and reward analysis of Asian countries today 41
Introduction 41
How to measure risk 44
Reward analysis 44
Economic risk analysis in history 45
Inflation in Asia 47
5 Country-by-country risk analysis 49
China 49
Hong Kong 57
Japan 62
Taiwan 67
Korea 71
Thailand 74
Malaysia 79
Singapore 82
Indonesia 85
The Philippines 88
6 Emerging Asian capital markets 92
Introduction to stockmarkets 92
Asian stockmarkets 96
Risk in terms of market volatility 104
Asian markets during periods of political or economic turbulence 106
How liquid are the markets? 113
7 A forecast for Asia to the year 2000 115
Three economic blocs 115
Asia's move upmarket 118
Demographics 120
The environment 121
Forecasts 122
The influence of the overseas Chinese on the West 128
A sure forecast 132
Bibliography 135
Index 139
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