The Ecological Detective: Confronting Models with Data (MPB-28) / Edition 1

The Ecological Detective: Confronting Models with Data (MPB-28) / Edition 1

by Ray Hilborn, Marc Mangel
     
 

ISBN-10: 0691034974

ISBN-13: 9780691034973

Pub. Date: 02/14/1997

Publisher: Princeton University Press

The modern ecologist usually works in both the field and laboratory, uses statistics and computers, and often works with ecological concepts that are model-based, if not model-driven. How do we make the field and laboratory coherent? How do we link models and data? How do we use statistics to help experimentation? How do we integrate modeling and statistics? How do

Overview

The modern ecologist usually works in both the field and laboratory, uses statistics and computers, and often works with ecological concepts that are model-based, if not model-driven. How do we make the field and laboratory coherent? How do we link models and data? How do we use statistics to help experimentation? How do we integrate modeling and statistics? How do we confront multiple hypotheses with data and assign degrees of belief to different hypotheses? How do we deal with time series (in which data are linked from one measurement to the next) or put multiple sources of data into one inferential framework? These are the kinds of questions asked and answered by The Ecological Detective.

Ray Hilborn and Marc Mangel investigate ecological data much as a detective would investigate a crime scene by trying different hypotheses until a coherent picture emerges. The book is not a set of pat statistical procedures but rather an approach. The Ecological Detective makes liberal use of computer programming for the generation of hypotheses, exploration of data, and the comparison of different models. The authors' attitude is one of exploration, both statistical and graphical. The background required is minimal, so that students with an undergraduate course in statistics and ecology can profitably add this work to their tool-kit for solving ecological problems.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780691034973
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
Publication date:
02/14/1997
Series:
Monographs in Population Biology Series
Edition description:
New Edition
Pages:
330
Product dimensions:
5.50(w) x 8.50(h) x 0.80(d)

Table of Contents

Preface: Beyond the Null Hypothesis
1An Ecological Scenario and the Tools of the Ecological Detective3
2Alternative Views of the Scientific Method and of Modeling12
3Probability and Probability Models: Know Your Data39
4Incidental Catch in Fisheries: Seabirds in the New Zealand Squid Trawl Fishery94
5The Confrontation: Sum of Squares106
6The Evolutionary Ecology of Insect Oviposition Behavior118
7The Confrontation: Likelihood and Maximum Likelihood131
8Conservation Biology of Wildebeest in the Serengeti180
9The Confrontation: Bayesian Goodness of Fit203
10Management of Hake Fisheries in Namibia Motivation235
11The Confrontation: Understanding How the Best Fit Is Found263
Appendix"The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses"281
References295
Index309

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