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Situational and tactical factors, which are usually treated only in complex models, strongly influence the effectiveness of long-range precision weapons in interdicting a moving armored column. This study develops a physics-based personal-computer model describing such influences.
We therefore began to develop a multiresolution family of models to better understand the phenomena, permit the broad-ranging exploratory analysis for which high-resolution simulation is inappropriate, and suggest priorities for field experiments. If successful, our work would illustrate concretely how such a family-of-models approach-coupled with experiments-could be taken routinely to improve military analysis and its underlying military science.
This report, then, describes a fast-running, stochastic, multiresolution desktop model (PEM) and its calibration to data from high-resolution simulation. We also describe a simplified and deterministic "Repro model" called RPEM for possible use in more aggregated campaign-level models such as JICM or JWARS. PEM and RPEM could substantially improve the defense community's ability to reflect, in routine analysis, many effects of [C.sup.4]ISR, the maneuver tactics of the invasion force, and relatively detailed characteristics of the long-range fires. However, more empirical work and high-resolution simulations are also badly needed.
Our work was accomplished as part of a special crosscutting project sponsored by the advisory group of the National Defense Research Institute (NDRI), which is RAND's federally funded research and development center (FFRDC) for the Office of the Secretary of Defense, Joint Staff, unified commands, and defense agencies. Comments are welcome and should be addressed to the principal author in Santa Monica, CA (e-mail: email@example.com).
Excerpted from Effects of Terrain, Maneuver Tactics, and C4ISR on the Effectiveness of Long-Range Precision Fires by Paul K. Davis James H. Bigelow Jimmie McEver Copyright © 2000 by Paul K. Davis. Excerpted by permission.
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