Election Timing

Election Timing

by Alastair Smith
     
 

ISBN-10: 0521108314

ISBN-13: 9780521108317

Pub. Date: 04/09/2009

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Endogenous election timing allows leaders to schedule elections "when the time is right." Alastair Smith proposes and tests an informational theory of endogenous election timing that explains when leaders call for elections and the consequences of their decisions. In particular, he argues that, if all else is equal, leaders announce elections when they anticipate a…  See more details below

Overview

Endogenous election timing allows leaders to schedule elections "when the time is right." Alastair Smith proposes and tests an informational theory of endogenous election timing that explains when leaders call for elections and the consequences of their decisions. In particular, he argues that, if all else is equal, leaders announce elections when they anticipate a decline in their future performance. As a consequence, an early election signals a leader's lack of confidence in future outcomes. The earlier that an election occurs relative to expectations, the stronger the signal of demise. Using data on British Parliaments since 1945, the author tests hypotheses related to the timing of elections, electoral support, and subsequent economic performance. Leaders who call elections early (relative to expectations) experience a decline in their popular support relative to preannouncement levels, have shorter campaigns, and experience worse postelectoral performance.

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Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780521108317
Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Publication date:
04/09/2009
Series:
Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions Series
Edition description:
New Edition
Pages:
288
Product dimensions:
5.90(w) x 9.00(h) x 0.80(d)

Table of Contents

1Calling Elections1
2An informational theory of election timing34
3The timing of elections83
4The consequences of election timing125
5Early and late elections in Britain178
6Conclusions224

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