The ETF Trend Following Playbook: Profiting from Trends in Bull or Bear Markets with Exchange Traded Funds

Overview

In a decade when other strategies were hemorrhaging value, Tom Lydon’s approach to combining ETFs, technical analysis, and trend following was delivering strong gains – and in today’s changing economic climate, it offers more potential than ever. Lydon, an expert on ETF investing for individuals, has just updated his popular book to reflect massive growth and change in the ETF marketplace, demonstrating many brand-new ways to use ETFs to maximize profits and reduce risks. The ETF Trend Following Playbook, Second ...
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The ETF Trend Following Playbook: Profiting from Trends in Bull or Bear Markets with Exchange Traded Funds,

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Overview

In a decade when other strategies were hemorrhaging value, Tom Lydon’s approach to combining ETFs, technical analysis, and trend following was delivering strong gains – and in today’s changing economic climate, it offers more potential than ever. Lydon, an expert on ETF investing for individuals, has just updated his popular book to reflect massive growth and change in the ETF marketplace, demonstrating many brand-new ways to use ETFs to maximize profits and reduce risks. The ETF Trend Following Playbook, Second Edition contains extensive coverage of new commodity, currency, alternative, volatility and active ETFs; new ETF strategies for capturing more value in a recovering economy; and ETF solutions for protecting bond portfolios from rising interest rate risks. Lydon introduces easier and better ways to access commodities, currencies, and global, regional, or individual country markets; brand-new ETF options for 401(k) retirement plans; advanced techniques for managing your portfolio like a hedge fund; and much more. More than ever, this book can help investors regain control over their portfolios, and replace emotional decisions with simple, reliable mathematical tools. Simply put, Lydon will help you create an ETF-based investing plan that works, stick to it, and reap the rewards.
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Product Details

Meet the Author

THOMAS F. LYDON, JR. (Huntington Beach, CA) is the leading expert on ETF investing. He is President of Global Trends Investments, an investment advisory firm that creates custom portfolios for high-net-worth individuals. He also edits ETFTrends.com, the No. 1 site for ETF news and commentary. He has been involved in money management for more than 25 years: first at Fidelity Investments, later as a founding member of Charles Schwab's Institutional Advisory Board, and recently as a board member for several companies. A contributor to the financial media, he is author of iMoney: Profitable Exchange-Traded Fund Strategies for Every Investor.
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Table of Contents

Acknowledgments . . . xii

About the Author . . . xiv

Introduction: Buy—and—Hold: Rest in Peace . . . xv

Chapter 1 Trends Are an Investor’s Best Friend . . . 1

Buy-and-Hold’s Funeral March . . . 4

Getting in Touch with Your Emotions . . . 7

Never-Ending Opportunities . . . 9

Chapter 2 Risk and Disaster Don’t Have to Go Hand-in-Hand . . . 11

Greed and Fear and Stocks, Oh My! . . . 12

Running Scared . . . 13

What Kind of Risk Level Can You Tolerate? . . .14

Types of Risk . . . 16

Staying Grounded . . . 17

Is Time on Your Side? . . . 17

The Go-Getter (Aggressive) . . . 17

The In-Betweener (Somewhat Less Aggressive) . . . 18

The Almost There (Moderately Conservative) . . . 18

The I’m Outta Here (Conservative) . . . 18

Chapter 3 Spotting Trends . . . 23

Tools of the Trade . . . 23

Learning to Identify Trends . . . 24

The Rules of the Game . . . 25

Understanding the Moving Average . . . 26

Exiting Safely and Profitably . . . 27

Avoiding a Bursting Bubble . . . 29

Learning to Live with “the Sell” . . . 29

Finding the Trends . . . 30

Up, Down, and Flat as a Pancake . . . 31

Timing Is Everything . . . 35

Chapter 4 Why Trend Following Can’t Be Beat . . . 39

Never Look Back . . . 42

What Happens After You Sell? . . . 43

Conquer Volatility, Don’t Let It Conquer You . . . 44

Do You Have Any Better Ideas? . . . 44

Buy-and-Hold: Does It Work Like It Should? . . . 45

Where That Leaves Us . . . 46

Chapter 5 The Nuts and Bolts of ETFs . . . 49

Why ETFs Are a Better Solution . . . 50

A Fast-Growing Industry . . . 53

Evaluating ETFs . . . 54

Employing ETFs . . . 56

Chapter 6 Tools You Can Use . . . 61

News . . . 61

Analysis . . . 62

Looking Under the Hood . . . 63

Charting . . . 64

Chapter 7 Navigating U.S. Markets . . . 65

Choices Galore . . . 66

Dow Jones Industrial Average . . . 67

The S&P 500 . . . 69

Russell Mid-Cap Index . . . 70

The Russell 2000 . . . 70

Growth Versus Value . . . 72

Value: Slower but Steadier . . . 72

Trends in Value and Growth . . . 73

Domestic Market ETFs . . . 74

Digging in Even Deeper . . . 75

Chapter 8 International Opportunities . . . 77

The Land of the Rising Sun...and Profits . . . 79

The Beginning of the End . . . 80

Emerging Markets . . . 82

China’s Dragon . . . 84

Investing in Emerging Economies . . . 86

Another BRIC in the Wall . . . 87

International ETFs . . . 88

Developed Markets . . . 89

Emerging Markets . . . 90

Chapter 9 The Best-Looking Sector in the Room . . . 93

Technology: High Highs and Lower Lows . . . 95

The Bubble Springs a Leak . . . 96

Passing Around Blame . . . 98

One Big Financial Mess . . . 99

The Beginning of the Global Crisis . . . 100

Sector-Specific ETFs . . . 101

Power Up with Utility ETFs . . . 103

Checking Up on Healthcare ETFs . . . 104

Banking on Financials . . . 104

Chapter 10 The Luster of Gold and Crude . . . 107

Oil: A Slippery, Yet Profitable Slope . . . 110

Turning Trends into Profits . . . 113

Owning Your Share of Commodities . . . 114

Agriculture . . . 116

Energy . . . 117

Metals (Precious, Base, and Industrial) . . . 118

Broad-Based Commodity ETFs . . . 119

Going the Roundabout Way . . . 120

South Africa . . . 120

Chile . . . 121

Russia . . . 121

Australia . . . 121

Commodities: A Valuable Part of Your Portfolio . . . 122

Chapter 11 The World of Currencies . . . 123

Monitoring the Ups and Downs of Money . . . 123

A Rocky Road for the U.S. Dollar . . .124

Citizens Suffer . . . 124

The Dollar Bucks Its Trend–Will It Last? . . . 126

Making the Most Out of Currency ETFs . . .129

Squeezing the Most from Your Dollars . . . 131

Chapter 12 Trends in Fixed Income . . . 133

Factors to Consider . . . 137

The Yield Curve . . . 139

Recent Trends Spotted . . . 141

Taxes and Municipal Bond Trends . . . 142

High-Yield Opportunity . . . 144

Fixed-Income ETFs . . . 144

Who Wants Bonds? . . . 146

How to Choose Bond ETFs . . . 147

Chapter 13 Getting Leverage in the Markets . . . 149

The Long and Short of ETFs . . . 150

Pumping Up Returns . . . 154

Chapter 14 Conclusion: Let’s Get to Work . . . 159

Switching from Mutual Funds to ETFs . . . 161

Working with Your Advisor . . . 162

Wrap—Up . . . 164

Glossary . . . 165

References and Resources . . . 181

References . . . 181

Resources . . . 197

Books . . . 197

Services . . . 198

Index . . . 199

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