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The European Union is the most successful supranational organization in history. It has reconciled former enemies, established a single market and a common currency, and reintegrated Central and Eastern Europe into the West. Yet the EU remains unsatisfying to its members and its partners. An economic giant but a political pygmy, it seems hamstrung by bureaucracy and a lack of connection to European publics.
In Europe 2030, distinguished authors predict what the European Union will look like twenty years from new. A range of views is presented, foreseeing everything from slower growth and diminished power to actions that would make the EU a more vigorous, influential world play.
Contributors include Oksana Antonenko (International Institute for Strategic Studies), José Manuel Durão Barroso (European Commission), José Cutileiro (former secretary general, Western European Union), Joschka Fischer (former minister of foreign affairs, Germany), Charles Grant (Center for European Reform), Andrew Hilton (Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation), Jonathan Laurence (German Marshall Fund, Boston College and Brookings Institution), Rui Chancerelle de Machete (consititutional and administrative attorney), Hubert Védrine (former minister of foreign affairs, France), and Joseph H.H. Weiler (New York University).
Foreword Rui Chancerelle de Machete vii
Preface José Manuel DurãO Barroso ix
1 Europe 2030: Global Power or Hamster on a Wheel? Joschka Fischer 1
2 The Limits of the European Union in 2030: A Best-Case Scenario José Cutileiro 11
3 The Accidental Constitution Joseph H. H. Weiler 23
4 The European Economic Model in 2030 Andrew Hilton 45
5 Europe as a Global Actor in 2030 Charles Grant 63
6 Europe and the United States in 2030 Hubert Védrine 87
7 Russia in 2030: A More Attractive Partner for the EU? Oksana Antonenko 99
8 European Islam in the Year 1451 Jonathan Laurence 121
Europe 2030 is a volume of essays by a distinguished group of writers on what Europe will look like 20 years from now. With great insight and deep knowledge, they illuminate the European Union's current strengths and weaknesses by imagining its development as it enters the middle of the 21st century.
Among the authors, former German foreign minister Joschka Fischer examines "The Idea and Reality of Europe in 2030," and his counterpart, former French foreign minister, Hubert Vedrine examines Europe's most important foreign ties in "Europe and the United States." Charles Grant, director of the Center for European Reform, looks at how Europe plays on the world stage, deploying both its hard and soft power, in "Europe's Global Role," while Daniel Benjamin, director of the Brookings Center on the United States and Europe, asks how Europe's large and fast-growing Muslim minority population will change states and societies. Other essays consider such issues as the fate of the European economic model, the evolution of Europe's constitution, Europe and terror, and the boundaries of Europe. Manuel Barroso, the president of the European Commission, and Strobe Talbott, president of the Brookings Institution, provide an insightful introduction.
Contributors: Manuel Barroso, Jose Cutileiro, Joschka Fischer, Charles Grant, Andrew Hilton, Pauline Neville-Jones, Strobe Talbott, Hubert Vedrine, and Joseph Weiler
Daniel Benjamin is the director of the Center on the United States and Europe at the Brookings Institution. He served as a Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs during the Clinton administration and before that as a journalist with the Wall Street Journaland Time magazine. He is the author (with Steven Simon) of two books: The Age of Sacred Terror (Random House, 2002), which was a New York Times Notable Book of 2002 and won the Arthur Ross Book Award for the best book on international affairs; and The Next Attack: The Failure of the War on Terror and a Strategy for Getting It Right (Holt/Times Books, 2005), which was named a Washington Post "Best Book" of 2005.2008 Frankfurt rights catalog