The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning / Edition 1

Hardcover (Print)
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $69.77
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 41%)
Other sellers (Hardcover)
  • All (5) from $69.77   
  • Used (5) from $69.77   
Close
Sort by
Page 1 of 1
Showing All
Note: Marketplace items are not eligible for any BN.com coupons and promotions
$69.77
Seller since 2006

Feedback rating:

(90)

Condition:

New — never opened or used in original packaging.

Like New — packaging may have been opened. A "Like New" item is suitable to give as a gift.

Very Good — may have minor signs of wear on packaging but item works perfectly and has no damage.

Good — item is in good condition but packaging may have signs of shelf wear/aging or torn packaging. All specific defects should be noted in the Comments section associated with each item.

Acceptable — item is in working order but may show signs of wear such as scratches or torn packaging. All specific defects should be noted in the Comments section associated with each item.

Used — An item that has been opened and may show signs of wear. All specific defects should be noted in the Comments section associated with each item.

Refurbished — A used item that has been renewed or updated and verified to be in proper working condition. Not necessarily completed by the original manufacturer.

Good
1994-04-01 Hardcover Good The book has a different cover, but the same ISBN. Book has some shelf wear and scuffing but is flat and clean.

Ships from: Catonsville, MD

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$69.95
Seller since 2006

Feedback rating:

(428)

Condition: Very Good
100% satisfaction guaranteed. No Remainder Mark. Ship twice daily. U.S. delivery Only

Ships from: Plano, TX

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$137.88
Seller since 2014

Feedback rating:

(227)

Condition: Good
Possible retired library copy, some have markings or writing.

Ships from: Chatham, NJ

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$153.99
Seller since 2014

Feedback rating:

(27)

Condition: Good
Buy with Confidence. Excellent Customer Support. We ship from multiple US locations. No CD, DVD or Access Code Included.

Ships from: Fort Mill, SC

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Standard, 48 States
$159.27
Seller since 2014

Feedback rating:

(227)

Condition: Very Good
Very good.

Ships from: Chatham, NJ

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
Page 1 of 1
Showing All
Close
Sort by

Overview

From Holmes's analysis of footprints and tobacco ash to modern institutional DNA testing, evidence has formed the cornerstone of probabilistic reasoning, both in fiction and real life. Too often viewed as irrefutable, evidence, argues David Schum, is an interpretive science, refracted through the varying perspectives of subject specialty. Evaluating how evidence is discovered, arranged, and used is essential not only for drawing conclusions, but also for developing an analytical scheme that transcends the particular skew of individual disciplines. In the first textbook treatment of evidence as a science, Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning examines inferences drawn from evidence that is incomplete, inconclusive, and often imprecise. Layer by layer, the book disassembles the process of gathering, organizing, and evaluating evidence, activities that ultimately affect what conclusions are drawn from evidence and how new evidence is discovered. The book also presents a balanced account of the probabilistic process of assessing the force, strength, or weight of evidence, an examination that considers the many current views on evaluating evidence. A subject of growing interest and study, the imaginative reasoning process behind the discovery or generation of new evidence and new hypotheses, is also described. Featuring over one hundred numerical examples to illustrate the workings of various probabilistic expressions, as well as lively graphics which illuminate many of the evidential and inferential issues discussed, this is an essential working reference to every facet of the science of evidence.
Read More Show Less

Editorial Reviews

Booknews
This is a paperbound edition of a 1994 book about which Book News wrote: Often viewed as irrefutable, evidence is, in fact, an interpretive science, refracted through the varying perspectives of different disciplines. Finding truth in the scatter of evidence is a highly subjective task, precariously balanced on the methods of discovery, arrangement, and argument. The author examines the principles and procedures of evidence analysis, and sheds light on probabilistic reasoning based on evidence that is incomplete, inconclusive, and often imprecise. He brings together insights from law, philosophy, logic, probability, semiotics, artificial intelligence, psychology, and history. A textbook Sherlock Holmes would be proud of. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)
Read More Show Less

Product Details

Meet the Author

Other Contact: Assistant, Maxine Payne (@ JW) Mpayne@wiley.com

Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

Preface
Acknowledgments
1 A Discourse on Evidence 1
1.1 Finding Common Ground 1
1.2 Is a General Discourse on Evidence Necessary? 4
1.3 Can There Be a Science of Evidence? 6
1.4 A Look Ahead 8
2 The Study of Evidence 11
2.1 Evidence, Observations, and Abstractions 11
2.2 Rhetoric, Logic and Philosophy 22
2.3 Evidence, Probability, and Statistics 34
2.4 Evidence in Jurisprudence: "Beating and Boulting the Truth" 54
2.5 Theories of Evidence: Argument Structure and Evidential Force 62
2.6 Discovering Evidence 64
3 Structural Issues I: Studying the Properties of Evidence 66
3.1 Relevance and Argument 67
3.2 The Foundations of Argument 92
3.3 Relevance, Credibility, and Ancillary Evidence 109
3.4 Common Forms of Evidence 114
3.5 Recurrent Combinations of Evidence 120
4 Structural Issues II: Inferences Based Upon a Mass of Evidence 131
4.1 Mixtures of Evidential Forms, Combinations, and Subtleties 132
4.2 Structuring and Standpoint 135
4.3 Relevance and Causality 140
4.4 Inference Networks I: Wigmore and His Contemporary Advocates 156
4.5 Inference Networks II: Modern Conceptions 169
4.6 Other Structures: Narratives, Stories, and Scenarios 195
5 On the Inferential Force of Evidence 200
5.1 The Force of Evidence: Historical Comments 201
5.2 Grading the Force of Evidence 206
5.3 Pascalian Gradations of the Force of Evidence 213
5.4 Belief Functions: Grading Evidential Support 222
5.5 The Weight of Evidence in Eliminative and Variative Inference 243
5.6 Evidence, Inference, and Imprecision 261
6 The Analysis of Evidential Properties and Subtleties 270
6.1 Combining Structural and Probabilistic Concepts 270
6.2 Some Interesting Evidential Properties and Subtleties 278
6.3 Analytic Objectives and Methods 284
7 Analyses of Isolated Items of Evidence 290
7.1 Evidence and Singly Connected Chains of Reasoning 290
7.2 Chains of Reasoning and Conditional Nonindependence 309
7.3 Credibility and the Force of Evidence 313
7.4 Secondhand Evidence 344
7.5 Equivocal Testimony 350
7.6 Missing Evidence 357
7.7 On the Discovery and Force of Negative Evidence 361
7.8 A Return to Bernoulli's Evidential Distinctions 364
8 Analyses of Recurrent Combinations of Evidence 366
8.1 On the Force of Dissonant Evidence 367
8.2 On the Force of Harmonious Evidence 390
8.3 Patterns of Evidential Harmony and Dissonance 409
8.4 The Two Faces on Evidential Redundance 417
8.5 Other Recurrent Combinations of Evidence 444
9 Discovery and the Generation of Evidence 450
9.1 Discovery in Various Contexts 452
9.2 Discovery and Imaginative Reasoning 460
9.3 Evidence, Signs, and Semiotics 476
9.4 Strategies for Marshaling Thought and Evidence during Discovery 489
10 End of Discourse 505
10.1 Evidence, Argument Structures, and Probabilities 508
10.2 Discovering and Marshaling Evidence 512
10.3 Final Words 514
References 515
Name Index 531
Subject Index 537
Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star

(0)

4 Star

(0)

3 Star

(0)

2 Star

(0)

1 Star

(0)

Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Noble.com Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & Noble.com that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & Noble.com does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at BN.com or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation

Reminder:

  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & Noble.com and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Noble.com Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & Noble.com reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & Noble.com also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on BN.com. It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

 
Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)