Exports to Jobs: Boosting the Gains from Trade in South Asia
South Asia has grown rapidly with significant reductions in poverty, but it has not been able to match the fast-growing working age population, leading to lingering concerns about jobless growth and poor job quality. Could export growth in South Asia result in better labor market outcomes? The answer is yes, according to our study, which rigorously estimates—using a new methodology—the potential impact from higher South Asian exports per worker on wages and employment over a 10-year period. Our study shows the positive side of trade. It finds that increasing exports per worker would result in higher wages—mainly for better-off groups, like more educated workers, males, and more-experienced workers—although less-skilled workers would see the largest reduction in informality. How can the benefits be spread more widely? Our study suggests that scaling up exports in labor-intensive industries could significantly lower informality for groups like rural and less-educated workers in the region. Also, increasing skills, and participation of women and young workers in the labor force could make an even bigger dent in informal employment. The region could achieve these gains by: (i) boosting and connecting exports to people (e.g., removing trade barriers and investment in infrastructure); (ii) eliminating distortions in production (e.g., by more efficient allocation of inputs); and (iii) protecting workers (e.g., by investing in education and skills).
1145601189
Exports to Jobs: Boosting the Gains from Trade in South Asia
South Asia has grown rapidly with significant reductions in poverty, but it has not been able to match the fast-growing working age population, leading to lingering concerns about jobless growth and poor job quality. Could export growth in South Asia result in better labor market outcomes? The answer is yes, according to our study, which rigorously estimates—using a new methodology—the potential impact from higher South Asian exports per worker on wages and employment over a 10-year period. Our study shows the positive side of trade. It finds that increasing exports per worker would result in higher wages—mainly for better-off groups, like more educated workers, males, and more-experienced workers—although less-skilled workers would see the largest reduction in informality. How can the benefits be spread more widely? Our study suggests that scaling up exports in labor-intensive industries could significantly lower informality for groups like rural and less-educated workers in the region. Also, increasing skills, and participation of women and young workers in the labor force could make an even bigger dent in informal employment. The region could achieve these gains by: (i) boosting and connecting exports to people (e.g., removing trade barriers and investment in infrastructure); (ii) eliminating distortions in production (e.g., by more efficient allocation of inputs); and (iii) protecting workers (e.g., by investing in education and skills).
45.0 In Stock
Exports to Jobs: Boosting the Gains from Trade in South Asia

Exports to Jobs: Boosting the Gains from Trade in South Asia

Exports to Jobs: Boosting the Gains from Trade in South Asia

Exports to Jobs: Boosting the Gains from Trade in South Asia

Paperback

$45.00 
  • SHIP THIS ITEM
    In stock. Ships in 1-2 days.
  • PICK UP IN STORE

    Your local store may have stock of this item.

Related collections and offers


Overview

South Asia has grown rapidly with significant reductions in poverty, but it has not been able to match the fast-growing working age population, leading to lingering concerns about jobless growth and poor job quality. Could export growth in South Asia result in better labor market outcomes? The answer is yes, according to our study, which rigorously estimates—using a new methodology—the potential impact from higher South Asian exports per worker on wages and employment over a 10-year period. Our study shows the positive side of trade. It finds that increasing exports per worker would result in higher wages—mainly for better-off groups, like more educated workers, males, and more-experienced workers—although less-skilled workers would see the largest reduction in informality. How can the benefits be spread more widely? Our study suggests that scaling up exports in labor-intensive industries could significantly lower informality for groups like rural and less-educated workers in the region. Also, increasing skills, and participation of women and young workers in the labor force could make an even bigger dent in informal employment. The region could achieve these gains by: (i) boosting and connecting exports to people (e.g., removing trade barriers and investment in infrastructure); (ii) eliminating distortions in production (e.g., by more efficient allocation of inputs); and (iii) protecting workers (e.g., by investing in education and skills).

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781464812484
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Publication date: 02/25/2019
Series: South Asia Development Forum
Pages: 206
Product dimensions: 7.00(w) x 10.00(h) x 0.40(d)

About the Author

The World Bank came into formal existence in 1945 following the international ratification of the Bretton Woods agreements. It is a vital source of financial and technical assistance to developing countries around the world. The organization's activities are focused on education, health, agriculture and rural development, environmental protection, establishing and enforcing regulations, infrastructure development, governance and legal institutions development. The World Bank is made up of two unique development institutions owned by its 185 Member Countries. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) focuses on middle income and creditworthy poor countries and the International Development Association (IDA), which focuses on the poorest countries in the world.

Table of Contents

Foreword xiii

Acknowledgments xv

About the Contributors xvii

Abbreviations xix

Overview 1

Key Messages 1

South Asian Paradox 2

A New Approach 3

Effect of an increase in Exports on Local Labor Market Outcomes 6

Policies to Spread the Gains from Exports 9

Notes 14

References 14

1 The South Asian Paradox 15

Key Messages 15

Introduction into Global Value Chains 19

Trade and Growth: A Virtuous Cycle 20

Potential South Asian Gains from Greater

Export Orientation 23

What the South Asian Paradox Portends 29

Notes 29

References 30

2 Labor Market Challenges and Export Patterns in South Asia 33

Key Messages 33

Introduction 33

Labor Market Conditions and Policy Priorities 34

Trends in South Asian Trade 43

Conclusion 54

Annex 2A Informality 55

Annex 2B Job Creation in Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka 57

Annex 2C Wage Regressions for India 59

Notes 60

References 60

3 The Methodology 63

Key Messages 63

Conceptual Underpinnings 63

Literature Review of Methodology 65

Quantifying a Positive Demand Shock to Exports: The Case of India 68

Trade Exposure Index 70

Conclusion 74

Annex 3A Trade Exposure 75

Notes 79

References 79

4 How Export Shocks Affect Local Labor Markets 81

Key Messages 81

Introduction 81

How Exports Affect Income, Jobs, and Wages 83

Big Mobility Issues at the Industry Level 88

Exports Have a Bigger Impact in Some States 89

How Our Results Compare with Others 89

Export Shocks and Labor Markets in Sri Lanka 95

Conclusion 98

Annex 4A Detailed Regression Results 99

Notes 114

References 114

5 Spreading the Labor Market Gains from Exports 117

Key Messages 117

Introduction 117

Option 1 Increasing the Scale of Exports 119

Option 2 Changing the Composition of Exports to Help Disadvantaged Groups 119

Option 3 Changing the Composition of the Workforce to Help Disadvantaged Groups 124

Suggestions for Tackling Obstacles to Higher Exports 126

Conclusion 130

Annex 5A The Impact of Different Types of Export Shocks on Specific Groups in India and Sri Lanka 133

Annex 5B Examples of Trade Adjustment Assistance Programs 137

Notes 139

References 140

Appendix A Literature Review: Trade and Local Labor Markets 143

How Trade Affects Labor Market Outcomes 143

Location, Location, Location: Why Local Labor Markets Matter 148

Notes 153

References 153

Appendix B Entangled Workers and Shared Prosperity in South Asian Labor Markets: Construction of Databases 157

General 157

Bangladesh 158

India 160

Sri Lanka 165

Notes 170

Appendix C Developed Economies 171

Appendix D Developing Economies 177

From the B&N Reads Blog

Customer Reviews