Far from Random: Using Investor Behavior and Trend Analysis to Forecast Market Movement [NOOK Book]

Overview

The financial world has for decades swallowed whole the idea that market movement is chaotic, random, and entirely unpredictable. Wall Street practitioners, academics, and a multitude of market commentators have encouraged the notion that we are not able to forecast the markets and therefore should not try. In Far From Random, Richard Lehman takes on these stalwarts of finance and disproves the widely accepted investment principle that stock market movement cannot be predicted. With his new take on trend channel ...

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Far from Random: Using Investor Behavior and Trend Analysis to Forecast Market Movement

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Overview

The financial world has for decades swallowed whole the idea that market movement is chaotic, random, and entirely unpredictable. Wall Street practitioners, academics, and a multitude of market commentators have encouraged the notion that we are not able to forecast the markets and therefore should not try. In Far From Random, Richard Lehman takes on these stalwarts of finance and disproves the widely accepted investment principle that stock market movement cannot be predicted. With his new take on trend channel analysis, Lehman shows that market trends exist, are discernible before they are wholly formed, and can be employed to boost investment returns.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780470885390
  • Publisher: Wiley
  • Publication date: 5/13/2010
  • Series: Bloomberg Financial , #55
  • Sold by: Barnes & Noble
  • Format: eBook
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 256
  • Sales rank: 1,319,162
  • File size: 970 KB

Meet the Author

Richard Lehman is the coauthor of New Insights on Covered Call Writing, with Lawrence McMillan (Bloomberg Press, 2003). Lehman is an instructor of both finance and derivatives at UC Berkeley Extension and a vice president in the wealth management group at Mechanics Bank in Richmond, California. His financial career spans more than thirty years in product management, marketing, and investment management, beginning with an eleven-year stint on Wall Street with E. F. Hutton, Thomson McKinnon, and the New York Stock Exchange. He lives in Richmond, CA.

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Table of Contents

Foreword Lawrence G. McMillan McMillan, Lawrence G.

Preface

Introduction 1

Pt. I A Market of What?

1 The Time Has Come 11

2 Fundamentally Flawed 23

3 Subjective Value 47

4 Random and Efficient Markets 65

5 Market Timing 87

Pt. II Behavior, Behavior, Behavior

6 New Thinking in Finance Isn't Financial 107

7 The Behavioral Phenomenon 117

8 Anomalies 145

Pt. III Charting a Golden Path

9 A New Market Paradigm 165

10 Introduction to Trend Channel Analysis 183

11 Reading Between the Lines 195

12 Putting It All Together 213

Index 227

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