A mixture of shrewd analysis and reactionary politics
Raghuram Rajan, formerly chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, now Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, has written an interesting book on the current crisis. It is a mixture of shrewd analysis and reactionary politics.
He notes, "Greater immigration and trade have also played a part [in increasing inequality] because immigrants, competing directly for unskilled jobs, and unskilled workers far away, competing through trade, have both served to hold down wages of unskilled U.S. workers." Yet he recommends encouraging mass migration and increasing world trade.
Low short-term interest rates encourage investors to put money into houses, stocks, bonds, oil and metals, producing bubbles in these assets. Rock bottom interest rates transfer wealth from savers to bankers. It is a one-way bet for bankers - gamble, cause a crisis, then get more profits from low interest rates.
Rajan points out that Federal Reserve policy turned the entire USA into a giant hedge fund, investing in risky assets abroad, financed by debt issued to the world. Wall Street became a crooked casino which puts no limit on gamblers' gains but covers their losses. If run as a private enterprise, it would have gone bust; it could only survive as a leech on the public.
He notes, "The problem stems from the fundamental incompatibility between the goals of capitalism and those of democracy." He also notes the USA's hugely unequal access to health care and education and the need to invest in improving access to quality education and universal health care. Then he urges public spending cuts and tax rises, which gives the lie to these commitments.
As Rajan observes, "aid leads to dependency, indebtedness, and poor governance and rarely leads to growth." And, "the more a country finances its investments through its own domestic savings, the faster it grows. Conversely, the more foreign financing it uses, the more slowly it grows."
He asks, "how can the United States reform the financial system so that it does not devastate the world economy once again?" Then he opposes reform and defends 'the basic structure of a system that has failed' (as he admits). All he proposes is "transparency to draw the interested public into monitoring the relationship between the government or regulator and the financial sector." That's it! This of course wouldn't have prevented the next financial crisis (now happening in the eurozone).
He writes that governments 'have to step back . to allow the market to function effectively'. He opposes nationalism (which he absurdly equates to fascism) and protectionism. Instead, he promotes beggar-your-neighbour competition between countries. He concludes "Other countries [meaning China] have to implement reforms that will help rebalance the world economy."
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