Forecasting and Management of Technology / Edition 1

Forecasting and Management of Technology / Edition 1

by Alan L. Porter, A. Thomas Roper, Thomas W. Mason, Frederick A. Rossini
     
 

ISBN-10: 0471512230

ISBN-13: 9780471512233

Pub. Date: 04/28/1991

Publisher: Wiley

Consistently practical in its coverage, the book discusses general issues related to forecasting and management; introduces a variety of methods, and shows how to apply these methods to significant issues in managing technological development. With numerous exhibits, case studies and exercises throughout, it requires only basic mathematics and includes a special

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Overview

Consistently practical in its coverage, the book discusses general issues related to forecasting and management; introduces a variety of methods, and shows how to apply these methods to significant issues in managing technological development. With numerous exhibits, case studies and exercises throughout, it requires only basic mathematics and includes a special technology forecasting TOOLKIT for the IBM and compatibles, along with full instructions for installing and running the program.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780471512233
Publisher:
Wiley
Publication date:
04/28/1991
Series:
Wiley Series in Engineering and Technology Management Series, #18
Pages:
464
Product dimensions:
6.43(w) x 9.56(h) x 1.16(d)

Table of Contents

OVERVIEW AND PRINCIPLES.
Management, Technology, and the Future.
Principles of Sociotechnical Change.
Technology Planning.
Forecasting.
Managing the Forecasting Project.
METHODS.
General Methodological Issues.
The Stimulation of Creativity.
Monitoring.
Basic Tools for Quantitative Trend Extrapolation.
Extrapolating Technological Trends.
Expert Opinion.
Simulation.
Scenarios.
Economic Forecasting and Analysis.
ASSESSMENT TO MANAGE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE.
Impact Assessment: General Issues and the Identification of the Impacts of Technology.
Analysis of the Impacts of Technologies.
Benefit/Cost and Risk Analysis.
Evaluation of Technologies and Their Impacts.
Managing the Present from the Future.
Appendices.
Bibliography.
Index.

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