Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences

Paperback (Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1987)
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9789401082792
  • Publisher: Springer Netherlands
  • Publication date: 12/31/2013
  • Edition description: Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1987
  • Pages: 384
  • Product dimensions: 7.01 (w) x 10.00 (h) x 0.81 (d)

Table of Contents

Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences: An Overview and Analysis of Isomorphisms.- I: Forecasting Contexts.- The Social Forecasting Industry.- Forecasts in Urban Transportation Planning: Uses, Methods, and Dilemmas.- Forecasting Errors: The Importance of the Decision-Making Context.- The Delphi Technique and Judgmental Forecasting.- II: Current Developments in Techniques and Models.- Econometric Forecasting: A Brief Survey of Current and Future Techniques.- A Survey of Census Bureau Population Projection Methods.- Forecasting Health Status Changes in an Aging U.S. Population: Assessment of the Current Status and some Proposals.- Recent Developments in Technological Forecasting.- III: Predictability, Forecast Errors, and Model Identification and Linkage.- The Predictability of Weather and Climate.- Errors in Forecasting Social Phenomena.- Forecasting the Impact of Climate on Food Systems: Model Testing and Model Linkage.- Modeling Economic-Demographic Linkages: A Study of National and Regional Models.- Scale Relationships in the Interactions of Climate, Ecosystems, and Societies.

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