Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven Analytic Techniques / Edition 1

Hardcover (Print)
Rent from
(Save 59%)
Est. Return Date: 07/22/2015
Buy New
Buy New from
Buy Used
Buy Used from
(Save 25%)
Item is in good condition but packaging may have signs of shelf wear/aging or torn packaging.
Condition: Used – Good details
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $1.99
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 95%)
Other sellers (Hardcover)
  • All (12) from $1.99   
  • New (3) from $41.66   
  • Used (9) from $1.99   


Terrorist attacks happen after years of careful planning; however, these plans always leave a trail of activities—a road map to the terrorists' forthcoming actions. These indicators include terrorist travel, movement of weapons, training, target surveillance, and tests of security. This guidebook identifies 68 such indicators and shows how to analyze them using a step-by-step explanation. It also includes safeguards against 38 of the 42 common warning pitfalls that experts have identified. That analysis then yields warnings that can prevent attacks and save lives. The methodology can be applied to any intelligence topic (not just terrorism) by simply changing the list of indicators. Warning failures are rarely due to inadequate collection; they are more frequently due to intelligence that has been ignored because it is delivered with weak analysis. With this model, author Sundri Khalsa brings sophisticated analysis methodology to security forces everywhere, promising a safer world. The accompanying CD-ROM provides a website display that is the interface to this forecasting system. It also includes a 45-minute video that describes the methodology step-by-step using the website display. This methodology was characterized by the Unit Chief of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Counterterrorism Threat Monitoring Unit as "light-years ahead," while officials in the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) have identified this system as "the bedrock for the evolving approach to terrorism analysis," and an "unprecedented forecasting model." This guide will be of interest to policy makers, journalists, police authorities, and concerned citizens.

Read More Show Less

Editorial Reviews

Lt Col Tony R. Mullis
[Khalsa] argues convincingly that her approach will enhance analytical ability through automation and standardization of warning indicators...[her] efforts are reflective of the type of transformational thinking the defense department needs for immediate and long-term assessment of the terrorist threat...I predict that the US will be in good hands as long as we have innovative thinkers like Sundri Khalsa.
Defense Intelligence Journal
For those interested in learning more about the intelligence-warning process, especially regarding terrorism, this book will be of particular interest....If her system is implemented, Khalsa predicts that her methodology will guard against up to 82 percent of the known common warning pitfalls, an impressive increase over the traditionally accepted 30-percent warning-accuracy rate....the United States will be in good hands as long as we have innovative thinkers like Sundri Khalsa.
Studies In Intelligence
Captain Kalsa has developed an interesting approach to forecasting acts of terror...
Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780810850170
  • Publisher: The Scarecrow Press, Inc.
  • Publication date: 10/28/2004
  • Edition description: New Edition
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 103
  • Sales rank: 1,015,419
  • Product dimensions: 7.12 (w) x 10.12 (h) x 0.30 (d)

Meet the Author

Sundri K. Khalsa has served as a military intelligence officer in the United States Air Force since 1996. She created the initial version of this forecasting methodology while serving in a leadership role in a counterintelligence/counter terrorism analysis cell in Saudi Arabia and further developed and refined this approach while at the Joint Military Intelligence College. Graduating first in her class, she was awarded the National Military Intelligence Association Award at the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) Joint Military Intelligence College.

Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

Part 1 List of Figures
Part 2 List of Tables
Part 3 Preface
Part 4 Acknowledgments
Part 5 Introduction
Chapter 6 How to Forecast Terrorism: Step-By-Step Explanation of the Methodology
Chapter 7 The Acid Test: Evaluation of the Methodology against the 42 Common Warning Pitfalls
Chapter 8 How to Make it Happen: Recommendations for Implementation
Part 9 Bibliography
Part 10 Index
Part 11 About the Author

Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star


4 Star


3 Star


2 Star


1 Star


Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation


  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)