Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations

Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations

by Kenneth G. Manton, Burton Singer, Richard M. Suzman
     
 

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Models to forecast changes in mortality, morbidity, and disability in elderly populations are essential to national and state policies for health and welfare programs. This volume presents a wide-ranging survey of the forecasting of health of elderly populations, including the modelling of the incidence of chronic diseases in the elderly, the differing perspectives of… See more details below

Overview

Models to forecast changes in mortality, morbidity, and disability in elderly populations are essential to national and state policies for health and welfare programs. This volume presents a wide-ranging survey of the forecasting of health of elderly populations, including the modelling of the incidence of chronic diseases in the elderly, the differing perspectives of actuarial and health care statistics, and an assessment of the impact of new technologies on the elderly population. Amongst the topics covered are - uncertainties in projections from census and social security data and actuarial approaches to forecasting - plausible ranges for population growth using biol ogical models and epidemiological time series data - the financing of long term care programs - the effects of major disabling diseases on health expenditures - forecasting cancer risks and risk factors As a result, this wide-ranging volume will become an indispensable reference for all those whose research touches on these topics.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"...presents several challenges to the reader in that it covers a wide variety of topics in varying amounts of detail...References to the literature in all the related fields are extensive and up to date...In summary, this book is a worthwhile addition to the literature on aging research." (Journal of the American Statistical Association)
Booknews
A wide-ranging survey of the forecasting of the health of elderly populations, including the modeling of the incidence of chronic diseases in the elderly, the differing perspectives of actuarial and health care statistics, and an assessment of the impact of new technologies on the elderly population. The volume is divided into five parts: introduction, methodological issues, forecasting techniques for specific diseases, effects of interventions on health costs, and longitudinal research--current status and future outlook. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9781461393344
Publisher:
Springer New York
Publication date:
07/31/2012
Series:
Statistics for Biology and Health Series
Edition description:
Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1993
Pages:
371
Product dimensions:
6.14(w) x 9.21(h) x 0.79(d)

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