Pandemics and military catastrophes illustrate systems fragility and impel strategic reflection. The French Indochina War (FIW) from 1946-1954 furnishes insights with resonance for current infectious, climatic, pollution and economic challenges. Four strategic themes structured an analysis of historical literature. The reasons for the French failure in 1954 involved fundamental regime illegitimacy, political equivocation, intelligence shortcomings, strategic and operational failures but also the determination, strength, and adaptability of the Việt Minh (VM). In 1945, France had re-occupied Vietnam to re-assert its global credentials. Later, Cold War logic and American aid sustained ‘La sale guerre’. But, the conflict merely delayed and bloodied an inevitable post-colonial regime shift. To maintain American aid flows yet retain French regional influence, the commander of the Expeditionary Corps, Henri Navarre, adopted an offensive stance. He sought to crush the VM, breathe life into the moribund French Union and block Võ Nguyên Giáp’s feints on Laos. In November 1954, he inserted a fortified camp at remote Diên Biên Phú (DBP). Operationally, the distance of DBP from Hanoï stretched the French aero-logistical system to its limits.
An analysis of the War itself offers useful strategic metaphors. First, paradigm myopia obscured the injustice of the colonial cause. Likewise, today the limitations of contemporary real estate, extractive, distraction, or surveillance capitalism are manifest. Its horizon is short-term, and it muddles price with value. As in Indochina then and now, in contemporary capitalism, power is dangerously concentrated in unelected monopoly institutions. Just as the Expeditionary Corps struggled to dispel the fog of war, todays’ financial system masks effective tax rates, tonnes of carbon, plastic or e-waste produced or the ratio of director’s to worker’s pay. Then, the French backed Bảo Đại’s corrupt ‘night club’ government. Today many governments appear inept or infected by cronyism. Chicanery, lobbying, tax avoidance and money laundering contaminate financial or government systems. Then as now, solutions involve transparency, foresight, duty, justice, and fiscal reform. The fallen on both sides provide a final metaphor for Baudelaire’s ‘martyrs d’un chemain mauvais’ (martyrs for a lost cause). The futility of sacrifice on the field of battle impels a re-calibration of unbridled consumption and comprador, outsourced production, towards civic duty in sustainable communities.
