Future Demographic Trends in Europe and North America: What Can We Assume Today?

Overview

This is the latest report on what demographers and scientists in related disciplines think and assume today about the future of human reproduction, longevity, and migration.
A quick look at some major errors in past population projections demonstrates that the problem was not with the technical instruments of projection but with the inability to anticipate major changes in human behavior and medical progress. Any population projection that is based exclusively on past trends of ...
See more details below
Available through our Marketplace sellers.
Other sellers (Hardcover)
  • All (5) from $59.29   
  • Used (5) from $59.29   
Close
Sort by
Page 1 of 1
Showing All
Note: Marketplace items are not eligible for any BN.com coupons and promotions
$59.29
Seller since 2014

Feedback rating:

(227)

Condition:

New — never opened or used in original packaging.

Like New — packaging may have been opened. A "Like New" item is suitable to give as a gift.

Very Good — may have minor signs of wear on packaging but item works perfectly and has no damage.

Good — item is in good condition but packaging may have signs of shelf wear/aging or torn packaging. All specific defects should be noted in the Comments section associated with each item.

Acceptable — item is in working order but may show signs of wear such as scratches or torn packaging. All specific defects should be noted in the Comments section associated with each item.

Used — An item that has been opened and may show signs of wear. All specific defects should be noted in the Comments section associated with each item.

Refurbished — A used item that has been renewed or updated and verified to be in proper working condition. Not necessarily completed by the original manufacturer.

Good
Possible retired library copy, some have markings or writing.

Ships from: Chatham, NJ

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$75.00
Seller since 2005

Feedback rating:

(50)

Condition: Very Good
1991 Hardback-no DJ Very Good Book Size: 8vo-over 7; Type: Former college library book. Former college library book. Tight binding, good hinges & clean text. --I own the books I ... list-live on a small Virginia mountain farm, garden and read a great deal. ! Read more Show Less

Ships from: Bland, VA

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$75.00
Seller since 2005

Feedback rating:

(50)

Condition: Very Good
1991 Hardback-no DJ Very Good Book Size: 8vo-over 7; Type: Former college library book. Former college library book. Tight binding, good hinges & clean text. --I own the books I ... list-live on a small Virginia mountain farm, garden and read a great deal. ! Read more Show Less

Ships from: Bland, VA

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$79.50
Seller since 2014

Feedback rating:

(227)

Condition: Very Good
Very good.

Ships from: Chatham, NJ

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
$410.40
Seller since 2009

Feedback rating:

(15)

Condition: Very Good
1991-01-16 Hardcover Very Good

Ships from: WEST ORANGE, NJ

Usually ships in 1-2 business days

  • Canadian
  • International
  • Standard, 48 States
  • Standard (AK, HI)
  • Express, 48 States
  • Express (AK, HI)
Page 1 of 1
Showing All
Close
Sort by
Sending request ...

Overview

This is the latest report on what demographers and scientists in related disciplines think and assume today about the future of human reproduction, longevity, and migration.
A quick look at some major errors in past population projections demonstrates that the problem was not with the technical instruments of projection but with the inability to anticipate major changes in human behavior and medical progress. Any population projection that is based exclusively on past trends of demographic rates is bound to miss possible future dicontinuities and surprises. If they can be anticipated at all, it can only be done by considering demographic trends in a broader socioeconomic, cultural, and biological context.
Here, the three components of population change--fertility, morality, and migration--are addressed. Introductory chapters describe past trends and assumptions for projections currently made in Europe and North America. Also included are discussions and analyses of some possible demographic discontinuities, together with a description of how assumptions on the three components are merged for population projections on national and international levels. This includes a synthesis where alternative views are translated numerically into ten alternative demographic scenarios for East Europe, West Europe, and North America through the year 2050.
Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780124604452
  • Publisher: Elsevier Science
  • Publication date: 1/2/1991
  • Series: Studies in Population Series
  • Edition description: United States ed
  • Pages: 608

Table of Contents

The Future of Longevity:
T. Valkonen, Assumptions about Mortality Trends in Industrialized Countries: A Survey.
J. Duchêne and G. Wunsch, Population Aging and the Limits to Human Life.
O. Andersen, Occupational Impacts on Mortality Declines in the Nordic Countries.
P. Józan, Changes in Hungarian Mortality and the Role of the National Health Promotion Program.
G. Heilig, The Possible Impact of AIDS on Future Mortality.
K.G. Manton, New Biotechnologies and the Limits to Life Expectancy.
L. Day, Upper-Age Longevity in Low-Mortality Countries: A Dissenting View.
The Future of Reproduction:
A. Kliger, Survey of Recent Fertility Trends and Assumptions Used for Projections.
G. Feeney and W. Lutz, Distributional Analysis of Period Fertility.
C. Calhoun and J. De Beer, Birth Expectations and Population Forecasts: The Case of the Netherlands.
C.F. Westoff, The Return to Replacement Fertility: A Magnetic Force?
N. Keyfitz, Subreplacement Fertility: The Third Level of Explanation.
C. Höhn, Policies Relevant to Fertility.
A. Vishnevsky, Demographic Revolution and the Future of Fertility: A Systems Approach.
The Future of Migratory Flows and Regional Trends:
A.B. Wils, Survey of Immigration Trends and Assumptions about Future Migration.
T. Espenshade, M. White, and F. Bean, Patterns of Recent Illegal Migration to the United States.
G. Steinmann, Immigration as a Remedy for the Birth Dearth: The Case of West Germany.
R. Beaujot, Immigration Policy and Sociodemographic Change: The Canadian Case.
T. Büttner and C. Prinz, Structure and Impact of German East-West Migration.
W. Serow and D. Sly, Geographic Mobility of the Elderly in Industrialized Societies.
S. Scherbov and W. Lutz, Regional Population Patterns in the Soviet Union: Scenarios to the Year 2050.
Combining the Three Components in Population Projection:
N. Keilman, National Population Projection Methods in Developed Countries.
S. Inoue and A.B. Wils, United Nations Population Projections.
J.F. Long, Relative Effects of Fertility, Mortality, and Immigration on Projected Age Structure.
W. Lutz, C. Prinz, A.B. Wils, T. Büttner, and G. Heilig, Alternative Demographic Scenarios for Europe and North America.
Chapter References.
Author Information.
Index.
Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star

(0)

4 Star

(0)

3 Star

(0)

2 Star

(0)

1 Star

(0)

Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Noble.com Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & Noble.com that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & Noble.com does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at BN.com or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation

Reminder:

  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & Noble.com and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Noble.com Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & Noble.com reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & Noble.com also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on BN.com. It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

 
Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)