The Future of Pakistan

Overview

With each passing day, Pakistan becomes an even more crucial player in world affairs. Home of the world's second-largest Muslim population, epicenter of the global jihad, location of perhaps the planet's most dangerous borderlands, and armed with nuclear weapons, this South Asian nation will go a long way toward determining what the world looks like ten years from now. The Future of Pakistan presents and evaluates several scenarios for how the country will develop, evolve, and act in the near future, as well as ...

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Overview

With each passing day, Pakistan becomes an even more crucial player in world affairs. Home of the world's second-largest Muslim population, epicenter of the global jihad, location of perhaps the planet's most dangerous borderlands, and armed with nuclear weapons, this South Asian nation will go a long way toward determining what the world looks like ten years from now. The Future of Pakistan presents and evaluates several scenarios for how the country will develop, evolve, and act in the near future, as well as the geopolitical implications of each.

Led by renowned South Asia expert Stephen P. Cohen, a team of authoritative contributors looks at several pieces of the Pakistan puzzle. The book begins with Cohen's broad yet detailed overview of Pakistan, placing it within the context of current-day geopolitics and international economics. Cohen's piece is then followed by a number of shorter, more tightly focused essays addressing more specific issues of concern.

Cohen's fellow contributors hail from America, Europe, India, and Pakistan itself, giving the book a uniquely international and comparative perspective. They address critical factors such as the role and impact of radical groups and militants, developments in specific key regions such as Punjab and the rugged frontier with Afghanistan, and the influence of —and interactions with —India, Pakistan's archrival since birth. The book also breaks down relations with other international powers such as China and the United States. The all-important military and internal security apparatus come under scrutiny, as do rapidly morphing social and gender issues. Political and party developments are examined along with the often amorphous division of power between Islamabad and the nation's regions and local powers.

Uncertainty about Pakistan's trajectory persists. The Future of Pakistan helps us understand the current circumstances, the relevant actors and their motivation, the critical issues at hand, the different outcomes they might produce, and what it all means for Pakistanis, Indians, the United States, and the entire world.

Praise for the work of Stephen P. Cohen

The Idea of Pakistan: "The intellectual power and rare insight with which Cohen breaks through the complexity of the subject rivals that of classics that have explained other societies posting a comparable challenge to understanding." — Middle East Journal

India: Emerging Power: "In light of the events of September 11, 2001, Cohen's perceptive, insightful, and balanced account of emergent India will be essential reading for U.S. foreign policymakers, scholars, and informed citizens." — Choice

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780815721802
  • Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
  • Publication date: 11/4/2011
  • Edition description: New Edition
  • Pages: 311
  • Product dimensions: 5.90 (w) x 8.90 (h) x 1.10 (d)

Meet the Author

Stephen P. Cohen is a senior fellow in Foreign Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution.
Long considered one of America's foremost experts on South Asia, he is the author of several influential books on the region, including The Idea of Pakistan and India: Emerging Power (both Brookings). He is also coauthor with Sunil Dasgupta of Arming without Aiming: India's Military Modernization (Brookings, 2010).

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Table of Contents

Foreword Bruce Riedel vii

Preface xi

1 Pakistan: Arrival and Departure Stephen P. Cohen 1

2 Pakistan's Future: Muddle Along Kanti Bajpai 70

3 Radicalization, Political Violence, and Militancy Laila Bokhari 82

4 Addressing Fundamental Challenges C. Christine Fair 91

5 Looking Ahead Tariq Fatemi 107

6 The China Factor Mohan Guruswamy 122

7 Factors Shaping the Future William Milam 134

8 The Clash of Interests and Objectives Shuja Nawaz 150

9 Still an Uncertain Future Shaukat Qadir 158

10 Visualizing a Shared India-Pakistan Future Bahukutumbi Raman 172

11 At the Brink? Hasan Askari Rizvi 182

12 Security, Soldiers, and the State Aqil Shah 199

13 Looking at the Crystal Ball Hilary Synnott 215

14 Regime and System Change Marvin G. Weinbaum 225

15 Population Growth, Urbanization, and Female Literacy Anita M. Weiss 236

16 The Perils of Prediction Joshua T. White 249

17 Youth and the Future Moeed W. Yusuf 257

18 Afterword Stephen P. Cohen 284

Contributors 297

Index 299

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