Generating Predictability: Institutional Analysis and Designby Christoph Engel, Engel Christoph
Pub. Date: 09/30/2005
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Human behavior is infinitely complex and unpredictable, the result of thousands of interactions between predispositions, external factors and physical and cognitive processes. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behavior. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success.
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Table of ContentsPreface; 1. Introduction; 2. The psychological predictability problem; 3. Rational choice responses; 4. Behaviourally informed responses; 5. Behaviourally determined responders; 6. Outlook: implications for interaction with higher complexity; 7. Predictability at the crossroads of competing institutions.
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