Good Judgment in Foreign Policy: Theory and Application

Overview

At the heart of political leadership lies choice. And at the heart of choice lies judgment. A leader's psychology and experience intersect with political realities to produce consequences that can make or break a leader—or a country. Nowhere is judgment more important than in the making of foreign policy. Good judgments can avoid wars, or win them. Poor judgments can start wars or lose them. This book draws together a distinguished group of contributors—psychologists, political scientists, and policymakers—to ...

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Good Judgment in Foreign Policy: Theory and Application

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Overview

At the heart of political leadership lies choice. And at the heart of choice lies judgment. A leader's psychology and experience intersect with political realities to produce consequences that can make or break a leader—or a country. Nowhere is judgment more important than in the making of foreign policy. Good judgments can avoid wars, or win them. Poor judgments can start wars or lose them. This book draws together a distinguished group of contributors—psychologists, political scientists, and policymakers—to focus on and understand both good and poor judgment in foreign policy making. Case studies of key leadership decisions combine with theoretical overviews and analyses to offer a highly textured portrait of judgment in action in the all-important foreign policy arena. An up-to-the-minute case on George W. Bush and the war on terrorism applies good judgment theory to contemporary events.

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Editorial Reviews

International Affairs
Contributes to the elucidation of the mystery of foreign policy analysis and its change in the post-Cold War era.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780742510067
  • Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
  • Publication date: 9/15/2002
  • Edition number: 352
  • Pages: 288
  • Product dimensions: 6.12 (w) x 9.22 (h) x 1.00 (d)

Meet the Author

Stanley A. Renshon is professor of political science and coordinator of the Interdisciplinary Program in the Psychology of Social and Political Behavior at the City University of New York Graduate Center. Deborah Welch Larson is professor of political science at University of California, Los Angeles.

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Table of Contents

Preface
1 Good Judgment in Foreign Policy: Social Psychological Perspectives 3
2 Psychological Sources of Good Judgment in Political Leaders: A Framework for Analysis 25
3 Appraising Good Judgment Before It Matters: Al Gore, George W. Bush, and the 2000 Presidential Campaign 61
4 Bad Guys and Bad Judgments 103
5 Truman and the Berlin Blockade: The Role of Intuition and Experience in Good Foreign Policy Judgment 127
6 Perceiving the End of Threat: Ronald Reagan and the Gorbachev Revolution 153
7 Culture and Emotion as Obstacles to Good Judgment: The Case of Argentina's Invasion of the Falklands/Malvinas 191
8 Policy Planning: Oxymoron or Sine Qua Non for U.S. Foreign Policy? 219
9 Why Foreign Policy (What It Comes to Judgment, at Least) Is Not Pornography 247
10 Analysis and Judgment in Policymaking 259
11 The World According to George W. Bush: Good Judgment or Cowboy Politics? 271
12 Politics, Uncertainty, and Values: Good Judgment in Context 309
Index 321
About the Contributors 333
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