The Graying of the Great Powers: Demography and Geopolitics in the 21st Century

Paperback (Print)
Buy New
Buy New from
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $3.28
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 85%)
Other sellers (Paperback)
  • All (6) from $3.28   
  • New (1) from $51.08   
  • Used (5) from $0.00   


The Graying of the Great Powers offers the first comprehensive assessment of the geopolitical implications of "global aging"-the dramatic transformation in population age structures and growth rates being brought about by falling fertility and rising longevity worldwide. It describes how demographic trends in the developed world will constrain the ability of the United States and its traditional allies to maintain national and global security in the decades ahead. It also explains how dramatic demographic change in the developing world-from resurgent youth bulges in the Islamic world to premature aging in China and population implosion in Russia-will give rise to serious new security threats. While some argue that global aging is pushing the world toward greater peace and prosperity, The Graying of the Great Powers warns that a period of great geopolitical danger looms just over the horizon. Neither the triumph of multilateralism nor democratic capitalism is assured. The demographic trends of the twenty-first century will challenge the geopolitical assumptions of both the left and the right.
Read More Show Less

What People Are Saying

Michael Mandelbaum
"Perhaps no feature of social life has greater influence on international politics, and certainly none is less well understood, than demography. The Graying of the Great Powers presents a clear picture of the population trends of the twenty-first century and a provocative analysis of their consequences for the politics and economics of the next four decades."--(Michael Mandelbaum, Johns Hopkins University, author of Democracy's Good Name: The Rise and Risks of the World's Most Popular Form of Government )
Robert L. Hutchings
"We are on the cusp of the most profound shift in global power and influence in more than a century.The Graying of the Great Powers helps us understand why this is so, how demographic and other trends will interact, and, most importantly, what we should do to manage this historic transformation."--(Robert L. Hutchings, Princeton University, former Chairman of the U.S. National Intelligence Council)
Nicholas Eberstadt
"The Graying of the Great Powers is a thoughtful and valuable first step toward an urgently needed assessment of what today's momentous global demographic changes may portend for the friendly--and unfriendly--competition between states in the world arena in the decades ahead."--(Nicholas Eberstadt, American Enterprise Institute, author of Europe's Coming Demographic Challenge: Unlocking the Value of Health )
Phillip Longman
"Howe and Jackson break new ground by showing how global population aging is unlikely to lead to a 'geriatric peace.' Indeed, the forces of demography may be pushing the world toward a major crisis in the 2020s. This book is a must read for all policymakers concerned with the future of geopolitics."--(Phillip Longman, New America Foundation, author of The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to Do About It )
Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780892065325
  • Publisher: Center for Strategic & International Studies
  • Publication date: 5/23/2008
  • Edition description: New Edition
  • Pages: 224
  • Product dimensions: 7.00 (w) x 9.80 (h) x 0.60 (d)

Meet the Author

Richard Jackson is a senior fellow and director of the Global Aging Initiative at CSIS. Neil Howe is a senior associate of the Global Aging Initiative at CSIS.

Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

Ch. 1 Population and power 7

Ch. 2 The developed world: assessing the projections 37

Ch. 3 The developed world: assessing the consequences 79

Ch. 4 The developing world's demographic future: cause for hope or concern? 133

Ch. 5 A demographic map of our geopolitical future 185

App. 1 Technical notes 203

App. 2 Roundtable and interviews 213

Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star


4 Star


3 Star


2 Star


1 Star


Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation


  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)