How Persuasive Is Qualitative Management Guidance Compared To Quantitative Guidance?

Overview

Management earnings guidance is one of the primary sources of earnings expectations for market participants. Broadly speaking, managers disclose their guidance either quantitatively or qualitatively. Comparing these guidance forms by type of news, I find that qualitative bad news forecasts are more persuasive to investors (i.e., have a stronger market reaction) and analysts (i.e., have larger earnings revisions) than quantitative bad news forecasts. With respect to good news earnings forecasts, I find no effect ...
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Overview

Management earnings guidance is one of the primary sources of earnings expectations for market participants. Broadly speaking, managers disclose their guidance either quantitatively or qualitatively. Comparing these guidance forms by type of news, I find that qualitative bad news forecasts are more persuasive to investors (i.e., have a stronger market reaction) and analysts (i.e., have larger earnings revisions) than quantitative bad news forecasts. With respect to good news earnings forecasts, I find no effect of guidance form. By way of an explanation, I find that qualitative bad news forecasts are more accurate ex post than quantitative bad news forecasts. Empirical results indicate that investors view qualitative bad news forecasts as a signal that the forthcoming earnings surprise may be more negative than anticipated. This result contrasts with prior studies which generally find that more precise earnings guidance is more persuasive.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9781243753946
  • Publisher: BiblioLabsII
  • Publication date: 9/9/2011
  • Pages: 76
  • Product dimensions: 7.44 (w) x 9.69 (h) x 0.16 (d)

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