Intermarket Analysis: Profiting from Global Market Relationships / Edition 2

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Overview

Intermarket analysis has come a long way in the ten years since John Murphy wrote his groundbreaking Intermarket Technical Analysis: Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets. Although the idea that global markets were linked to each other was once viewed with skepticism, intermarket analysis is now considered among today's most important technical disciplines. Today, market observers look to history for parallels that may predict future market performance. In Intermarket Analysis: Profiting from Global Market Relationships, Murphy incorporates and reflects on the most recent world market data to show how seemingly disparate world markets interact and ultimately influence each other. Beginning with a brief overview of the intermarket changes that launched the bull market of the 1980s, Intermarket Analysis next revisits the stock market crash of 1987 and its importance to the development of intermarket theory. The author then discusses the 1990 bear market with emphasis on its relevance to later global events. Finally, the text offers in-depth coverage and analysis of the deflation trend that resulted in the bursting of the stock market bubble in 2000 followed by three years of stock market decline.

Citing recent world events that have had a profound impact on even longstanding economic relationships, Murphy shows us what earlier intermarket models are still working and, more importantly, what has changed. Based on the premise that intermarket analysis is not a "static" model, he examines the overall economic impact of such events as escalating tensions and wars in the Middle East, the decade-long downward spiral of the Japanese economy, and global over-investment in technology stocks. Drawing on his vast experience as both an educator and an expert trader, the author lays out his key tools to understanding global markets and illustrates how these tools can help today's serious investors profit in any economic climate. Armed with the knowledge of how economic forces impact the various markets and sectors, investors and traders can profit by exploiting opportunities in markets about to rise and avoiding those poised for a fall.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
“…valuable reading for the professional because it provides a detailed overview of a subject that still attracts relatively little attention...” (The Technical Analyst, April 2004)
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780471023296
  • Publisher: Wiley, John & Sons, Incorporated
  • Publication date: 1/23/2004
  • Series: Wiley Trading Series , #115
  • Edition description: REV
  • Edition number: 2
  • Pages: 288
  • Product dimensions: 7.32 (w) x 9.92 (h) x 1.02 (d)

Meet the Author

JOHN J. MURPHY, former technical analyst for CNBC, is the Chief Technical Analyst for StockCharts.com and President of MurphyMorris ETF Fund. He has over thirty years of market experience and is author of several bestselling books, including Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets–which is widely regarded as the standard reference in the field. His book Intermarket Technical Analysis (Wiley) created a new branch of technical analysis emphasizing market linkages. Stocks & Commodities Magazine (October 2002) described his intermarket work as "unparalleled." His third book, The Visual Investor, also published by Wiley, applies charting principles to sector analysis. John has appeared on Bloomberg TV, CNN Moneyline, Nightly Business Report, and Wall $treet Week with Louis Rukeyser, and has been quoted in Barron’s and other prominent financial publications. He received a BA in economics and an MBA from Fordham University in New York. In 1992, John was given the first award for outstanding contributions to global technical analysis by the International Federation of Technical Analysts, and is the recipient of the 2002 Market Technicians Association Annual Award.

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgments
Introduction to Intermarket Analysis
1 A Review of the 1980s 1
2 1990 and the First Persian Gulf War 17
3 The Stealth Bear Market of 1994 33
4 The 1997 Asian Currency Crisis and Deflation 51
5 1999 Intermarket Trends Leading to Market Top 65
6 Review of Intermarket Principles 81
7 The NASDAQ Bubble Bursts in 2000 97
8 Intermarket Picture in Spring 2003 115
9 Falling Dollar During 2002 Boosts Commodities 131
10 Shifting from Paper to Hard Assets 145
11 Futures Markets and Asset Allocation 159
12 Intermarket Analysis and the Business Cycle 179
13 The Impact of the Business Cycle on Market Sectors 199
14 Diversifying with Real Estate 217
15 Thinking Globally 235
Appendix 247
Index 263
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