Interpreting China's Grand Strategy: Past, Present and Future

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Overview

RAND Asian experts Swaine and Tellis have chosen one of the most significant, controversial, and timely subjects, breaking new ground conceptually as well as analytically.
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Editorial Reviews

Contemporary Southeast Asia
Swaine and Tellis undoubtedly make a major contribution to our understanding of China's current strategic behavior.
China Quarterly
This is an impressive work....an excellent introduction to China's past as precedent to present and prospective foreign policies.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780833027672
  • Publisher: Rand Publishing
  • Publication date: 3/28/2000
  • Series: Project Air Force Series
  • Pages: 308
  • Product dimensions: 5.96 (w) x 9.02 (h) x 0.78 (d)

Read an Excerpt

Interpreting China's Grand Strategy

Past, Present, and Future
By Michael D. Swaine Ashley J. Tellis

Rand Corporation

Copyright © 2000 Rand Corporation
All right reserved.




Preface

This study identifies and analyzes the major factors determining China's grand strategy-past, present, and future-to better understand the motivations behind Chinese strategic behavior and to assess how such behavior might evolve in the future, over both the near and long term. The ultimate purpose of such analysis is to more clearly understand whether, and in what manner, China's grand strategy might pose fundamental challenges to U.S. strategic interests.

The study was conducted as part of a larger, multiyear project on "Chinese Defense Modernization and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force." Other RAND reports from this project include:

Mark Burles, Chinese Policy Toward Russia and the Central Asian Republics, MR-1045-AF, 1999.

Zalmay M. Khalilzad, Abram N. Shulsky, Daniel L. Byman, Roger Cliff, David T. Orletsky, David Shlapak, and Ashley J. Tellis, The United States and a Rising China: Strategic and Military Implications, MR-1082-AF, 1999.

Mark Burles and Abram N. Shulsky, Patterns in China's Use of Force: Evidence from History and Doctrinal Writings, MR-1160-AF, 2000.

This project is conducted in the Strategy and Doctrine Program of Project AIR FORCE and was sponsored by the Deputy Chief of Staff for Air and Space Operations, Headquarters, U.S. Air Force(AF/XO), and the Director, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance, Headquarters, U.S. Air Force (AF/XOI). Comments are welcome and may be directed to the authors or to the project leader, Dr. Zalmay Khalilzad.

PROJECT AIR FORCE

Project AIR FORCE, a division of RAND, is the Air Force federally funded research and development center (FFRDC) for studies and analysis. It provides the Air Force with independent analyses of policy alternatives affecting the development, employment, combat readiness, and support of current and future aerospace forces. Research is performed in four programs: Aerospace Force Development; Manpower, Personnel, and Training; Resource Management; and Strategy and Doctrine.

(Continues...)



Excerpted from Interpreting China's Grand Strategy by Michael D. Swaine Ashley J. Tellis Copyright © 2000 by Rand Corporation. Excerpted by permission.
All rights reserved. No part of this excerpt may be reproduced or reprinted without permission in writing from the publisher.
Excerpts are provided by Dial-A-Book Inc. solely for the personal use of visitors to this web site.
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Table of Contents

Chapter One: China as a National Security Concern

Chapter Two: China's Security Problem

Chapter Three: The Historical Context
Border Defense and Periphery Control
Fluctuations in Periphery Control and Regime Boundaries
The Use of Force
The Use of Noncoercive Security Strategies
The Influence of Domestic Leadership Politics

Chapter Four: China's Current Security Strategy: Features and Implications
Factors Shaping China's Calculative Security Strategy
The Major Guiding Tenets and Policies of China's Calculative Security Strategy
Benefits and Risks

Chapter Five: China Faces the Future: The Far Term
Assessing the "Natural" Longevity of the Calculative Strategy
Beyond the Calculative Strategy

Chapter Six: Conclusions

Bibliography

Index
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