Interpreting China's Grand Strategy: Past, Present and Future

Paperback (Print)
Buy New
Buy New from
Buy Used
Buy Used from
(Save 37%)
Item is in good condition but packaging may have signs of shelf wear/aging or torn packaging.
Condition: Used – Good details
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $1.99
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 95%)
Other sellers (Paperback)
  • All (18) from $1.99   
  • New (5) from $29.67   
  • Used (13) from $1.99   


RAND Asian experts Swaine and Tellis have chosen one of the most significant, controversial, and timely subjects, breaking new ground conceptually as well as analytically.
Read More Show Less

Editorial Reviews

Contemporary Southeast Asia
Swaine and Tellis undoubtedly make a major contribution to our understanding of China's current strategic behavior.
China Quarterly
This is an impressive excellent introduction to China's past as precedent to present and prospective foreign policies.
Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780833027672
  • Publisher: Rand Publishing
  • Publication date: 3/28/2000
  • Series: Project Air Force Series
  • Pages: 308
  • Product dimensions: 5.96 (w) x 9.02 (h) x 0.78 (d)

Read an Excerpt

Interpreting China's Grand Strategy

Past, Present, and Future
By Michael D. Swaine Ashley J. Tellis

Rand Corporation

Copyright © 2000 Rand Corporation
All right reserved.


This study identifies and analyzes the major factors determining China's grand strategy-past, present, and future-to better understand the motivations behind Chinese strategic behavior and to assess how such behavior might evolve in the future, over both the near and long term. The ultimate purpose of such analysis is to more clearly understand whether, and in what manner, China's grand strategy might pose fundamental challenges to U.S. strategic interests.

The study was conducted as part of a larger, multiyear project on "Chinese Defense Modernization and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force." Other RAND reports from this project include:

Mark Burles, Chinese Policy Toward Russia and the Central Asian Republics, MR-1045-AF, 1999.

Zalmay M. Khalilzad, Abram N. Shulsky, Daniel L. Byman, Roger Cliff, David T. Orletsky, David Shlapak, and Ashley J. Tellis, The United States and a Rising China: Strategic and Military Implications, MR-1082-AF, 1999.

Mark Burles and Abram N. Shulsky, Patterns in China's Use of Force: Evidence from History and Doctrinal Writings, MR-1160-AF, 2000.

This project is conducted in the Strategy and Doctrine Program of Project AIR FORCE and was sponsored by the Deputy Chief of Staff for Air and Space Operations, Headquarters, U.S. Air Force(AF/XO), and the Director, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance, Headquarters, U.S. Air Force (AF/XOI). Comments are welcome and may be directed to the authors or to the project leader, Dr. Zalmay Khalilzad.


Project AIR FORCE, a division of RAND, is the Air Force federally funded research and development center (FFRDC) for studies and analysis. It provides the Air Force with independent analyses of policy alternatives affecting the development, employment, combat readiness, and support of current and future aerospace forces. Research is performed in four programs: Aerospace Force Development; Manpower, Personnel, and Training; Resource Management; and Strategy and Doctrine.


Excerpted from Interpreting China's Grand Strategy by Michael D. Swaine Ashley J. Tellis Copyright © 2000 by Rand Corporation. Excerpted by permission.
All rights reserved. No part of this excerpt may be reproduced or reprinted without permission in writing from the publisher.
Excerpts are provided by Dial-A-Book Inc. solely for the personal use of visitors to this web site.
Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

Chapter One: China as a National Security Concern

Chapter Two: China's Security Problem

Chapter Three: The Historical Context
Border Defense and Periphery Control
Fluctuations in Periphery Control and Regime Boundaries
The Use of Force
The Use of Noncoercive Security Strategies
The Influence of Domestic Leadership Politics

Chapter Four: China's Current Security Strategy: Features and Implications
Factors Shaping China's Calculative Security Strategy
The Major Guiding Tenets and Policies of China's Calculative Security Strategy
Benefits and Risks

Chapter Five: China Faces the Future: The Far Term
Assessing the "Natural" Longevity of the Calculative Strategy
Beyond the Calculative Strategy

Chapter Six: Conclusions


Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star


4 Star


3 Star


2 Star


1 Star


Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation


  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)