Introduction To Intelligence Research And Analysis

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Overview

Since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on United States soil, the intelligence community has been scrutinized on how it performs its functions. Consequently, the 9/11 Commission made several recommendations on how to improve the quality of intelligence analysis. Those charges and the United States' involvement in a war in Iraq have spawned additional charges of the politicization of intelligence. All this is being played out as the Intelligence Community has reformed and reconfigured itself with newly created departments supported by an expanded and inexperienced workforce that was never envisioned when the intelligence community was formally established in 1947. First published in the 1970s, the classic book An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis was used by intelligence analysts to track and monitor the Communist threat. Although today's environment has changed considerably since the Cold War, intelligence analysts still need to understand the basics of intelligence analysis. The book focuses on how to do research, what qualities are needed to be an intelligence analyst, and what methods can be employed to help in producing products. To avoid politicization, intelligence analysts should strive to become more transparent in their methodology of how they arrived at their conclusions. Intelligence Research and Analysis provides several methods to assist in that end.

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Product Details

Meet the Author

Jerome Clauser is the author of several publications on intelligence education and training. His previous books include Voice of the United Nations Command: A description of a strategic radio broadcasting psychological operation; and An overview of collateral psychological operations in the Republic of Korea.

Jan Goldman is the author or editor of numerous articles and books on intelligence to include Ethics of Spying: A Reader for the Intelligence Professional, and Words of Intelligence: A Dictionary. He is the editor for Scarecrow Professional Intelligence Education Series.

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Table of Contents

Introduction Jan Goldman Goldman, Jan

1 The Evolution and Definition of Strategic Intelligence 1

2 Research: A Description of the Activity and the Analyst 17

3 Types of Inquiry and the Nature of Proof 38

4 The Relation of Induction and Deduction to Theory Building in Intelligence Research 51

5 Planning the Research Program: Problem Definition 58

6 Planning the Research Program: Locating Information 69

7 Foundations of Analysis: Some Basic Concepts 79

8 Classification: A Basic Step in Analysis 93

9 Basic Quantitative Techniques for Research and Analysis 105

10 Descriptive Analysis Methodologies 129

11 Prediction, Forecasting, and Haruspicy 164

12 Preparing the Report 197

13 An Example of a Small-Scale Intelligence Study 207

Index 217

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