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Introduction to Simulation and Risk Analysis / Edition 2
     

Introduction to Simulation and Risk Analysis / Edition 2

by James R. Evans
 

ISBN-10: 0130329282

ISBN-13: 9780130329288

Pub. Date: 06/29/2001

Publisher: Prentice Hall

Soundly structured and highly practical, this informative guide introduces users to the concepts, methodologies, and applications of simulation in business, using easy-to-apply Microsoft Excel spreadsheets as the principal means to illustrate simulation modeling concepts, computational issues, and analysis of results. Uses spreadsheets throughout to convey

Overview

Soundly structured and highly practical, this informative guide introduces users to the concepts, methodologies, and applications of simulation in business, using easy-to-apply Microsoft Excel spreadsheets as the principal means to illustrate simulation modeling concepts, computational issues, and analysis of results. Uses spreadsheets throughout to convey quantitative methodologies in a language readers can most easily understand, and allows them to address the elementary concepts of both risk analysis and systems simulation approaches in a common framework. Fully covers all basic concepts of simulation (i.e., the nature of simulation models, systems (time/event driven) simulation, techniques for implementing simple simulation models on Excel spreadsheets, statistical concepts and methods important in simulation analysis, and more. Offers an in-depth study of risk analysis using the Excel add-in Crystal Ball as a practical method for Monte Carlo simulation. Presents a detailed analysis of systems simulation including discussions on the fundamentals of simulating inventory and queueing systems and event-driven simulation. Provides SkillBuilder exercises for practicing and developing spreadsheet and software applications skills, as well as Simulation in Practice cases and numerous examples and illustrations of simulation models throughout. For business administrators, industrial engineers, and related professionals who want to learn about simulation and risk analysis.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780130329288
Publisher:
Prentice Hall
Publication date:
06/29/2001
Edition description:
2ND BK&CDR
Pages:
392
Product dimensions:
8.06(w) x 10.22(h) x 1.01(d)

Table of Contents

Prefacexiii
Part 1Simulation Fundamentals
Chapter 1Introduction to Simulation1
Chapter 2Simulation Using Excel21
Chapter 3Probability and Statistics in Simulation63
Part 2Simulation in Risk Analysis
Chapter 4Risk Analysis Using Crystal Ball112
Chapter 5Applications of Risk Analysis152
Part 3Systems Simulation
Chapter 6Building System Simulation Models199
Chapter 7Output Analysis and Experimentation for Systems Simulation249
Chapter 8Systems Simulation Using ProcessModel271
Chapter 9Applications of Systems Simulation307
Part 4Extensions of Simulation
Chapter 10Simulation in Forecasting and Optimization335
Appendix ANormal Distribution370
Appendix Bt Distribution371
Appendix CChi-Square Limits372
Appendix DKolmogorov-Smirnov Limits373
Bibiography374
Index387

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