Investing in College Basketball

Overview

Investing in College Basketball provides a comprehensive set of tools and techniques for successfully wagering on college basketball. It shows how the returns - winnings -- from investing in college basketball can be far greater than investing in stocks and bonds. These returns can be achieved by anyone with an interest in basketball, basic mathematical skills, and a computer with spreadsheet programs and Internet access. The power of the methodology is demonstrated by actual investing results for the 2003-2004 ...
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Overview

Investing in College Basketball provides a comprehensive set of tools and techniques for successfully wagering on college basketball. It shows how the returns - winnings -- from investing in college basketball can be far greater than investing in stocks and bonds. These returns can be achieved by anyone with an interest in basketball, basic mathematical skills, and a computer with spreadsheet programs and Internet access. The power of the methodology is demonstrated by actual investing results for the 2003-2004 season of the Atlantic 10 Conference. The book includes an analysis of investment outcomes for the A-10 Conference, the working papers for assessing each team, and the analysis of each game for which an investment was made. There are extensive examples of how theory is applied in analyzing actual games and showing how good analysis consistently pays off.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9781418481391
  • Publisher: AuthorHouse
  • Publication date: 10/28/2004
  • Pages: 388
  • Product dimensions: 6.00 (w) x 9.00 (h) x 1.00 (d)

Table of Contents

Introduction                                                                         
Part I: The Market and The Way to Win
 1. Fundamental Principles of the Market and Investing                   
    Sports Book Objectives and Operations
    Sports Wagering - A Highly Competitive Market
    Power Rating Affect the Market
    Fundamental Investment Strategy
 2. Viewing the Season                                      
 3. Investment Opportunities                                     
 4. The Virtue of Conference Specialization               
    Conference Selection Criteria
    Selection of the Atlantic 10 Conference
 5. Investing and Money Management                      
    Bankroll and Target Winnings
    Investing Process
 6. Game Analysis                                    
    Basic Perspectives
    Key Metrics and Comparability
    Team Assessment Factors
 7. Investing Infrastructure and Data Management          
    Information Acquisition
    Databases
    Analytical Tools
    Sports Book Accounts
    Communications
Part II: Applying the Methodology to the 2003-2004 Season
 8. Investment Summary                                         
 9. A-10 Pre-Season Assessment                          
10. Early Season Investments                            
11. Pre-Conference Season Assessments                         
12. Conference Season Investments
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First Chapter

Part I: The Market and How to Invest

 

1.                  Fundamental Principles of the Market and Investing. It is important to understand the market that you will be playing in-the way sports books operate and their similarities to other markets and exchanges. Also, there are a handful of particularly important principles of investing that must be fully understood and internalized to be successful.

 

2.                  Viewing the Season. The season is long; it is comprised of several phases-for individual teams and all the teams in a conference. During these phases, coaches sometimes employ different strategies, and players sometimes perform in different ways. Understanding the season from a coach's perspective is valuable to investors who will benefit from thinking like coaches and anticipating change

 

3.                  Investment Opportunities. There are many ways to invest in men's college basketball. The number of ways seems to increase each year. Some are fair investments-the sports book balances the risks between you and other investors. Others are basically sucker investments in which books shift the entire risk and more to investors. It is important to know the types of investments to undertake and those to stay away from.

 

4.                  The Virtue of Specialization. A minimum condition for gaining advantage is to know more than other investors. This leads to the idea of specializing in one conference and developing an encyclopedic knowledge of each team and its players. Selecting the right conference to specialize in is one of the most important decisions in the entire investing process.

 

5.                  Investing and Money Management. Part of the discipline of investing is adhering to a well-defined process day in and day out-a process of systematically searching for investment opportunities, formulating compelling investment theses, determining investment levels, and finding the best deal in the market. Each step in the process offers a source of investing advantage; when all steps are executed flawlessly, there are great advantages and large returns.

 

6.                  Match-up Analysis. The fundamental unit of investing is games. Each game offers a set of potential investment opportunities. Only by carefully evaluating the two teams that are playing in a very systematic way can you find excellent investing opportunities. The trick is to do this thoroughly and intelligently so that the best investment opportunities can be identified quickly, and many days of analysis are not wasted in analyzing games that you will not invest in. It is important to remember that this is not entirely a quantitative process; qualitative factors play a big role and discriminate between investors who merely crunch numbers and those who intelligently apply knowledge of the game of basketball.

 

7.                  Investing Infrastructure and Data Management. To efficiently execute an investment strategy, you must have the right data, at the right time, manipulated and presented in the right way. Similarly, you must have the ability to make investments quickly using a set of accounts with sports books, in the same manner as you would use brokerage accounts. In some measure, an investor in men's college basketball has the same type of infrastructure and tools as a stock trader.

 

Part II: Applying the Methodology in the 2003-2004 Season

 

8.                  Season Results. This chapter displays the investing results for the season. It enumerates every investment and the outcome. It describes the measures you should use to figure out how well you are doing. Finally, this chapter includes an analysis of the results that demonstrate many of the principles and guidelines that are fundamental to the investing methodology

 

9.                  Pre-Season Assessments. A key element of the methodology is to evaluate each team in the target conference prior to the start of the season-forecasting early season performance and, more importantly, identifying the things to watch that might indicate trends in team performance. This chapter is comprised of the actual pre-season assessments prepared for each of the teams in the Atlantic 10 Conference for the 2003-2004 season.

 

10.              Early Season Investments. This chapter is comprised of the in-depth analyses prepared for each of the games for which investments were made prior to the start of the conference season. These papers illustrate how to analyze games and how strong an "investment thesis" needs to be before placing money at risk. Further, the outcome of each game is reported and reasons for losing investments identified.

 

11.              Conference-Season Assessment. Before the conference season begins, it is necessary to assess each team in the same manner as the pre-season assessment. By the end of December, there is a track record for each team. Also, the beginning of the conference season is a new beginning for many teams and the opportunity for coaches to make adjustments. These assessments are intended to systematically anticipate what will occur at the outset of the conference season-when the past may not be an entirely reliable indicator of future performance. This chapter is comprised of the assessments prepared for each Atlantic 10 team in December 2003.

 

12.              Conference-Season Investments. This chapter is comprised of the in-depth analyses prepared for each of the games for which investments were made during the Atlantic 10 Conference season. The outcome of each game is reported and reasons for losing investments are identified.

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