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Maintaining Nuclear Stability in South Asia

Overview


Indo-Pakistani relations are shadowed by the issue of nuclear weapons and the specter that nuclear-capable missiles may soon be deployed. In this book, author Neil Joeck argues that basic nuclear capabilities have in fact not created strategic stability. Such capabilities, he argues, neither explain the absence of war over the past decade nor why war is currently unlikely. While limited nuclear capabilities increase the costs of conflict, they do little to reduce the risk of ...
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Maintaining Nuclear Stability in South Asia

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Overview


Indo-Pakistani relations are shadowed by the issue of nuclear weapons and the specter that nuclear-capable missiles may soon be deployed. In this book, author Neil Joeck argues that basic nuclear capabilities have in fact not created strategic stability. Such capabilities, he argues, neither explain the absence of war over the past decade nor why war is currently unlikely. While limited nuclear capabilities increase the costs of conflict, they do little to reduce the risk of its occurrence.

Maintaining Nuclear Stability asserts that the development of command and control mechanisms would enhance stability in a crisis and improve India's and Pakistan's ability to avoid nuclear use if war breaks out, and that diplomatic steps particularly focused on missiles must also be considered. With nuclear weapons in hand, the price of potential failed deterrence is catastrophically high. Investing more resources on a bet that nuclear capabilities ensure safety only raises the penalties if the initial decision was wrong. Joeck proposes that command and control and diplomatic engagement provide some insurance that, if that bet is called, nuclear use is not the only choice left.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780198294061
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis
  • Publication date: 10/28/1997
  • Series: Adelphi Series , #312
  • Pages: 120
  • Product dimensions: 6.80 (w) x 9.70 (h) x 0.05 (d)

Meet the Author

Neil Joeck is currently on sabbatical leave working as a Research Associate at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). He is employed as a political analyst in the Directorate for Nonproliferationm Arns Control and International Security and the Center for Global Security Research at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) in California, USA. His primary area of concern is nuclear proliferation and South Asian security, and he has also recently completed research projects on nuclear use doctrine and North-east Asian security issues. Dr Joeck was also a member of the US Council on Foreign Relations 1996 Task Force on South Asia. He has contributed to the Journal of Strategic Studies, Energy and Technology Review, and the Los Angeles Times, as well as chapters in a number of edited books and LLNL reports to the US government.

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Table of Contents

List of maps 5
Glossary 9
Introduction 11
Ch. 1 Prospects for War 15
The Influence of Non-State Actors 16
The Influence of Domestic Politics 22
The Influence of Decision-Making 28
Ch. 2 Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia 35
Requirements for Nuclear Deterrence 36
Deterrence Stability in South Asia 41
Ch. 3 Enhancing Nuclear Stability 51
Command and Control in Peacetime 52
Nuclear Planning: Doctrine, Response and Warning 55
Command and Control in War 61
Ch. 4 Stability and Diplomacy 65
High Risk, High Feasibility 67
Low Risk, High Feasibility 70
High Risk, Low Feasibility 72
Low Risk, Low Feasibility 73
Conclusion 75
Notes 79
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