Managing Strategic Surprise: Lessons from Risk Management and Risk Assessment

Managing Strategic Surprise: Lessons from Risk Management and Risk Assessment

by Paul Bracken
     
 

ISBN-10: 0521883156

ISBN-13: 9780521883153

Pub. Date: 08/07/2008

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to

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Overview

The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.

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Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780521883153
Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Publication date:
08/07/2008
Pages:
336
Product dimensions:
5.80(w) x 9.00(h) x 1.00(d)

Table of Contents

1 Introduction Paul Bracken Bracken, Paul Ian Bremmer Bremmer, Ian David Gordon Gordon, David 1

2 How to build a warning system Paul Bracken Bracken, Paul 16

3 Intelligence management as risk management : the case of surprise attack Uzi Arad Arad, Uzi 43

4 Nuclear proliferation epidemiology : uncertainty, surprise, and risk management Lewis A. Dunn Dunn, Lewis A. 78

5 Precaution against terrorism Jessica Stern Stern, Jessica Jonathan B. Wiener Wiener, Jonathan B. 110

6 Defense planning and risk management in the presence of deep uncertainty Paul K. Davis Davis, Paul K. 184

7 Managing energy security risks in a changing world Coby van der Linde van der Linde, Coby 228

8 What markets miss : political stability frameworks and country risk Preston Keat Keat, Preston 265

9 The risk of failed-state contagion Jeffrey Herbst Herbst, Jeffrey 287

10 Conclusion : managing strategic enterprise Paul Bracken Bracken, Paul Ian Bremmer Bremmer, Ian David Gordon Gordon, David 302

Index 311

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