Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project

by National Intelligence Council (US) (Produced by)

Overview

 The end of the Cold War shifted the tectonic plates, but the repercussions from these momentous events are still unfolding. Emerging powers in Asia, retrenchment in Eurasia, a roiling Middle East, and transatlantic divisions are among the issues that have only come to a head in recent years. The very magnitude and speed of change resulting from a globalizing world—apart from its precise character—will be a defining feature of the world out to 2020. Other significant characteristics include: the rise of new powers, new challenges to governance, and a more pervasive sense of insecurity, including terrorism. As we map the future, the prospects for increasing global prosperity and the limited likelihood of great power conflict provide an overall favorable environment for coping with what are otherwise daunting challenges. The role of the United States will be an important variable in how the world is shaped, influencing the path that states and nonstate actors.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9780160920622
Publisher:	US Independent Agencies and Commissions
Publication date:	08/15/2013
Sold by:	Barnes & Noble
Format:	eBook
Pages:	101
File size:	23 MB
Note:	This product may take a few minutes to download.
Age Range:	15 Years

Table of Contents

Contents Page     Executive Summary 9     Methodology 19     Introduction 25     The Contradictions of Globalization 27       An Expanding and Integrating Global Economy 29       The Technology Revolution 34       Lingering Social Inequalities 37       Fictional Scenario: Davos World 40     Rising Powers: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape 47       Rising Asia 48       Other Rising States? 51       The “Aging” Powers 56       Growing Demands for Energy 59       US Unipolarity—How Long Can It Last? 63       Fictional Scenario: Pax Americana 64     New Challenges to Governance