Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project [NOOK Book]

Overview


 The end of the Cold War shifted the tectonic plates, but the repercussions from these momentous events are still unfolding. Emerging powers in Asia, retrenchment in Eurasia, a roiling Middle East, and transatlantic divisions are among the issues that have only come to a head in recent years. The very magnitude and speed of change resulting from a globalizing world—apart from its precise character—will be a defining feature of the world out to 2020. Other significant characteristics include: the rise of new...
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Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project

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Overview


 The end of the Cold War shifted the tectonic plates, but the repercussions from these momentous events are still unfolding. Emerging powers in Asia, retrenchment in Eurasia, a roiling Middle East, and transatlantic divisions are among the issues that have only come to a head in recent years. The very magnitude and speed of change resulting from a globalizing world—apart from its precise character—will be a defining feature of the world out to 2020. Other significant characteristics include: the rise of new powers, new challenges to governance, and a more pervasive sense of insecurity, including terrorism. As we map the future, the prospects for increasing global prosperity and the limited likelihood of great power conflict provide an overall favorable environment for coping with what are otherwise daunting challenges. The role of the United States will be an important variable in how the world is shaped, influencing the path that states and nonstate actors.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780160920622
  • Publisher: US Independent Agencies and Commissions
  • Publication date: 8/15/2013
  • Sold by: Barnes & Noble
  • Format: eBook
  • Pages: 101
  • Sales rank: 171,739
  • File size: 22 MB
  • Note: This product may take a few minutes to download.

Table of Contents


Contents

Page



Executive Summary

9



Methodology

19



Introduction

25



The Contradictions of Globalization

27




An Expanding and Integrating Global Economy

29




The Technology Revolution

34




Lingering Social Inequalities

37




Fictional Scenario: Davos World

40



Rising Powers: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape

47




Rising Asia

48




Other Rising States?

51




The &#8220Aging&#8221 Powers

56




Growing Demands for Energy

59




US Unipolarity&#8212How Long Can It Last?

63




Fictional Scenario: Pax Americana

64



New Challenges to Governance

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