Opportunities Missed, Opportunities Seized: Preventive Diplomacy in the Post-Cold War World / Edition 1

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Overview

The basic logic of preventive diplomacy is unassailable. Act early to prevent disputes from escalating; reduce tensions that could lead to war; deal with today's conflicts before they become tomorrow's crises. Yet as we look at the record of these first years of the post-Cold War era, it is quite mixed. There have been some preventive diplomacy successes and opportunities that have been seized by major powers and international organizations to help preserve and protect the peace. But there also have been other opportunities that have been missed, with some of the century's most deadly conflicts the result. This study examines ten major post-Cold War cases including Croatia-Bosnia, Rwanda, the Baltics, Russia-Ukraine, Macedonia, and North Korea-to assess the key factors contributing to both the success and failure of preventive diplomacy. The method of case study analysis employed is based on the work of Alexander L. George. Authors include both leading academics and prominent policy officials with first-hand knowledge.

Author Biography: Bruce W. Jentleson is professor of public policy and political science at Duke University.

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Editorial Reviews

Journal Of Strategic Studies
It is a useful giude to understanding contemporary conflict.
Fen Osler Hampson
Although much has been written about the opportunities for and limits to preventive diplomacy in recent years, there are no in-depth case studies that test the utility of the concept in diplomatic practice. This volume fills a gap in the burgeoning literature and rescues the concept from the jaws of some of its sterner critics.
Fen Osler Hampson
Although much has been written about the opportunities for and limits to preventive diplomacy in recent years, there are no in-depth case studies that test the utility of the concept in diplomatic practice. This volume fills a gap in the burgeoning literature and rescues the concept from the jaws of some of its sterner critics.
Joseph V. Montville
A major achievement that will go far in getting the concept and practice of preventive diplomacy into the conventional wisdom of the foreign policy community.
Joseph V. Montville
A major achievement that will go far in getting the concept and practice of preventive diplomacy into the conventional wisdom of the foreign policy community.
From The Foreword - Lee H. Hamilton
No issue facing the world today deserves our attention more than conflict prevention. We need to foster a sense of urgency, a new way of thinking that gives precedence to the prevention and not simply the management of conflict, to avoid disaster rather than merely dealing with its consequences. The contributors to this volume provide illuminating descriptions of the actions that prevented some crises from becoming violent. They also provide agonizing details of violence that could have been prevented and carefully demonstrate what could have been done to prevent it.
Fen 'sler Hampson
Although much has been written about the opportunities for and limits to preventive diplomacy in recent years, there are no in-depth case studies that test the utility of the concept in diplomatic practice. This volume fills a gap in the burgeoning literature and rescues the concept from the jaws of some of its sterner critics.
Journal of Strategic Studies
It is a useful giude to understanding contemporary conflict.
International Affairs
This volume is a must for anyone interested in preventive diplomacy. This volume makes a valuable contribution to the field, and that is likely to set the standard against which future studies of preventive diplomacy will be judged.
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Product Details

Meet the Author

Bruce W. Jentleson is professor of public policy and political science at Duke University.

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Table of Contents

Foreword
Preface and Acknowledgments
Acronyms
Pt. 1 Overview
1 Preventive Diplomacy: A Conceptual and Analytic Framework 3
2 The Warning-Response Problem and Missed Opportunities in Preventive Diplomacy 21
Pt. 2 The Dissolution of the Soviet Union
3 The War in Chechnya: Opportunities Missed, Lessons to Be Learned 39
4 The International Community and the Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh 68
5 Preventive Diplomacy: Success in the Baltics 91
6 Preventive Diplomacy for Nuclear Nonproliferation in the Former Soviet Union 108
Pt. 3 The Breakup of Yugoslavia
7 Costly Disinterest: Missed Opportunities for Preventive Diplomacy in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, 1985-1991 133
8 Preventive Diplomacy for Macedonia, 1992-1999: From Containment to Nation Building 173
Pt. 4 Ethnic Conflicts in Africa
9 Somalia: Misread Crises and Missed Opportunities 211
10 Preventive Diplomacy in Rwanda: Failure to Act or Failure of Actions? 238
11 Prevention Gained and Prevention Lost: Collapse, Competition, and Coup in Congo 265
Pt. 5 Rogue State Aggression
12 Opportunity Seized: Preventive Diplomacy in Korea 295
Pt. 6 Conclusions
13 Preventive Diplomacy: Analytical Conclusions and Policy Lessons 319
Notes 349
Index 413
About the Contributors 427
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