Opportunity Investing: How To Profit When Stocks Advance, Stocks Decline, Inflation Runs Rampant, Prices Fall, Oil Prices Hit the Roof, ... and Every Time in Between

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“A guide that will turn readers into smart and savvy investors. Appel, author of several successful books on investing and editor of the leading technical analysis publication Systems and Forecasts , offers readers even more hot investment tips in his latest offering. Here, he shows readers how to read and recognize the economic climate, and demonstrates how to invest accordingly. After teaching how to understand the character of the market, Appel offers tried-and-true strategies that will help you make high-return, low-risk investments using

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Overview

“A guide that will turn readers into smart and savvy investors. Appel, author of several successful books on investing and editor of the leading technical analysis publication Systems and Forecasts , offers readers even more hot investment tips in his latest offering. Here, he shows readers how to read and recognize the economic climate, and demonstrates how to invest accordingly. After teaching how to understand the character of the market, Appel offers tried-and-true strategies that will help you make high-return, low-risk investments using mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and real investment trusts. He also provides solid advice on how to invest in foreign markets, taking advantage of often overlooked investment opportunities abroad. Investments in real estate, precious metals and other commodities also receive coverage, and Appel offers useful web resources for further research. The author has more than 40 years of experience, and his love of teaching the trade is conveyed through his enthusiasm and thorough explanations. Both amateurs and experienced investors who are looking for a competitive edge will appreciate this information-packed guide to making wise investments in any economic climate.” --Kirkus Reports

In Opportunity Investing, you are shown which investments provide the best returns in varying economic climates, how to recognize and take advantage of investment opportunities overseas as well as investment opportunities within the United States. Specific strategies for identifying the strongest mutual funds and stock market sectors are provided, as well as strategies for periods when interest rates either rise or fall. Tools are provided to identify periods when stocks and/or other investment options are likely to advance, periods when market outlooks are more cloudy, and strategies that suggest changes in portfolio allocation that may be made accordingly. Other areas discussed include real estate, precious metals and other commodities, and investments that bring in high and steady levels of income.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
“A guide that will turn readers into smart and savvy investors. Appel, author of several successful books on investing and editor of the leading technical analysis publication Systems and Forecasts , offers readers even more hot investment tips in his latest offering. Here, he shows readers how to read and recognize the economic climate, and demonstrates how to invest accordingly. After teaching how to understand the character of the market, Appel offers tried-and-true strategies that will help you make high-return, low-risk investments using mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and real investment trusts. He also provides solid advice on how to invest in foreign markets, taking advantage of often overlooked investment opportunities abroad. Investments in real estate, precious metals and other commodities also receive coverage, and Appel offers useful web resources for further research. The author has more than 40 years of experience, and his love of teaching the trade is conveyed through his enthusiasm and thorough explanations. Both amateurs and experienced investors who are looking for a competitive edge will appreciate this information-packed guide to making wise investments in any economic climate.” --Kirkus Reports
Publishers Weekly
While Appel's previous books offered advice on technical analysis of stocks and price movement charts aimed at aggressive day traders, this one covers tamer versions of those strategies for conservative retail investors. Despite the sensational subtitle, the advice is generally solid, calling for broad diversification with a little excitement from a moderate level of turnover. However, unlike conventional wisdom, which advises buy-and-hold diversification, the book recommends aggressive market timing, moving in and out of various investment types based on market and economic conditions. The strongest aspect of the book is the clear explanations of how these diverse sectors work, and how ordinary investors can put money into them conveniently and at a reasonable cost. But the advice on how to tell when different market sectors are attractive or unattractive for investment is much less clear. There is extensive discussion of how much money one could have made if one had known what was going to happen, but the rules for switching investments in the future are hard to understand and not backed by systematic statistics. (Sept.) Copyright 2006 Reed Business Information.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780131721296
  • Publisher: FT Press
  • Publication date: 9/15/2006
  • Pages: 351
  • Product dimensions: 6.30 (w) x 9.30 (h) x 1.23 (d)

Meet the Author

Gerald Appel is a world famous author and lecturer. A frequent guest on television and radio, he has appeared on Wall Street Week with Louis Ruykeyser and his articles and/or articles about him have appeared in Money Magazine, Barron’s, Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities Magazine, Stocks Futures and Options Magazine, Wealth Magazine, the New York Times, Forbes, Kiplinger’s Magazine, and elsewhere. He is the founder of Signalert Corporation, an investment advisory firm that manages more than $350 million in client assets and is the author of numerous books and articles regarding investment strategies, including Technical Analysis: Power Tools for the Active Investor (Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2005).

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Read an Excerpt

Chatterjee_01.qxdOpportunity InvestingHow to Profit When Stocks Advance, Stocks Decline, Inflation Runs Rampant, Prices Fall, Oil Prices Hit the Roof, . . . and Every Time in BetweenIntroduction: New Opportunities

The world is changing.

If you have any doubt, just check out any major daily newspaper.

You will see the nexus of economic and political power shifting from Europe—possibly even from the United States—to China, Korea, South America, and other developing areas. You will see threats to world security emanating from such relatively minor powers as North Korea, Iran, and even Brazil, which has been contemplating its own nuclear development.

Some of this is bad news. Some not. Change is often associated with problems, anxiety, and fear. It is also associated with challenge. It may also be associated with progress, improvement, and opportunity.

Which is what this book is about. It is designed to help investors make the most of opportunities that lie within the United States and outside of the United States. Such opportunities include the usual—stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and money market instruments. Such opportunities also include areas with which most investors remain relatively unfamiliar—commodities, overseas bonds, foreign stocks, real estate–related instruments, and investments in developing countries. You will learn where such opportunities lie, of excellent vehicles in which to invest, how to time your purchases and sales, and how to create well-diversified and balanced portfolios that are appropriate to your stage of life and financial situation.

Perhaps even more important, you will learn how to contain andreduce risks associated with investing—timing techniques, diversification strategies, ways of recognizing "bargain-basement" prices, and strategies for profiting from inflationary trends as well as from deflation.The Need for Active Management

The need for investors to be informed and active in their own management has, if anything, been increasing and is likely to continue to increase in the future. Movements are already under way to delay and/or reduce retirement benefits that accrue from Social Security, which would remove a major economic prop for many families. In addition, there have been initiatives to "privatize" Social Security, to make the individual beneficiaries rather than the government responsible for the financial growth of their Social Security assets, mirroring the responsibility for decisions that many investors now make within their 401K and other retirement plans. Many areas of decision making and risk are likely to be transferred from the government to the individual. The consequences of uninformed investing may well prove considerable.Active, Informed, Self-Management

The passive investor may place his investment capital into one or two well-known mutual funds, hoping for the long-term best. Perhaps he may rely on his stock brokerage to select his investment portfolio. In both cases, he is likely to be relying on management whose interests almost certainly lie with encouraging investor passivity, in promoting buy and hold strategies through thick and thin, and who, because of the large amount of capital and large numbers of investors under their management, will tend toward investing conformity. This approach may have been fine during the 1980s and 1990s, two outstanding decades for the stock market. It has not worked well since then and may or may not serve investor purposes in the future.

The actively managing investor may seek information—and even some guidance—from many sources. Such investors, however, will process and evaluate such information themselves, will come to their own decisions, and will act based on long- and short-term plans for investment that are modified as new investment opportunities develop and as old ones recede.

They will adapt a true management style, establishing long- and shorter-term investment objectives, balancing potential reward and risks, remaining flexible—ready to change course if and when investment conditions change. They will learn and apply investment techniques that are useful in this regard.

The purpose of this book is to help you become one of the they. How This Book Will Help

Opportunity Investing has been structured to provide benefit to readers who have only limited inclination/time to monitor their investments and even more benefit to investors who are willing to put additional time and effort into their investment programs.

The initial sections of Opportunity Investing show you a range of more familiar and basic investment areas, profit potentials and pitfalls, and strategies for constructing portfolios for greater returns at lower risk. We review which investments are likely to produce greater returns during periods of inflation and which during periods of deflation. You will learn where you can secure high levels of income commensurate with risk and the benefits of and strategies associated with diversification (including diversification by time, investment sector, and geography). You will learn how to select open- and closed-end mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) most likely to succeed and will be provided with a "starter portfolio" of the less than 1% of mutual funds that have met certain criteria for long-term excellence in performance. You will also learn how you can improve your investing performance considerably—quite considerably—by the application of just one investment technique alone.

As the book progresses, more active and involved investors will learn general and investment-specific techniques of market timing—which are designed to help you know when to enter the various investment arenas and when to hold assets in cash and cash equivalents. You will learn how to measure the relative strength of different investments so that your portfolio may be rebalanced to emphasize those areas that are performing the best while de-emphasizing investment areas that are underperforming.

In short, you will first learn techniques designed to help you decide what to buy and how to structure your investment portfolio. This, alone, should improve your investment results. You will then learn when to invest and when to stand aside. This should further improve returns.

We live in a world of change, of challenges, and of opportunity. Let's move along now to enter into that world!

© Copyright Pearson Education. All rights reserved.

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgments xvii

Introduction: New Opportunities xix

Chapter 1: The Myth of Buy and Hold 1
Chapter 2: Putting Together a Winning Portfolio 29

Chapter 3: Selecting Mutual Funds Most Likely to Succeed 57
Chapter 4: Income Investing–Safer and Steady . . . But Watch Out for the Pitfalls 95
Chapter 5: Securing Junk Bond Yields at Treasury Bond Risk 133

Chapter 6: The Wonderful World of Exchange-Traded Funds 153
Chapter 7: A Three-Pronged Approach to Timing the Markets 179

Chapter 8: Time Cycles, Market Breadth, and Bottom-Finding Strategies 205
Chapter 9: Cashing In on the Real Estate Boom—Investing in REITs 229

Chapter 10: Opportunities Abroad–Investing from Brazil to Britain 251
Chapter 11: How to Get the Most from Closed-End Mutual Funds 283

Chapter 12: Inflation–Coexisting and Even Profiting with Inflation 301
Chapter 13: Reviewing Our Array of Opportunity Strategies 315

Index 335

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Preface

Opportunity Investing

How to Profit When Stocks Advance, Stocks Decline, Inflation Runs Rampant, Prices Fall, Oil Prices Hit the Roof, . . . and Every Time in Between

Introduction: New Opportunities

The world is changing.

If you have any doubt, just check out any major daily newspaper.

You will see the nexus of economic and political power shifting from Europe—possibly even from the United States—to China, Korea, South America, and other developing areas. You will see threats to world security emanating from such relatively minor powers as North Korea, Iran, and even Brazil, which has been contemplating its own nuclear development.

Some of this is bad news. Some not. Change is often associated with problems, anxiety, and fear. It is also associated with challenge. It may also be associated with progress, improvement, and opportunity.

Which is what this book is about. It is designed to help investors make the most of opportunities that lie within the United States and outside of the United States. Such opportunities include the usual—stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and money market instruments. Such opportunities also include areas with which most investors remain relatively unfamiliar—commodities, overseas bonds, foreign stocks, real estate–related instruments, and investments in developing countries. You will learn where such opportunities lie, of excellent vehicles in which to invest, how to time your purchases and sales, and how to create well-diversified and balanced portfolios that are appropriate to your stage of life and financial situation.

Perhaps even more important, you will learn how to contain and reduce risks associated with investing—timing techniques, diversification strategies, ways of recognizing "bargain-basement" prices, and strategies for profiting from inflationary trends as well as from deflation.

The Need for Active Management

The need for investors to be informed and active in their own management has, if anything, been increasing and is likely to continue to increase in the future. Movements are already under way to delay and/or reduce retirement benefits that accrue from Social Security, which would remove a major economic prop for many families. In addition, there have been initiatives to "privatize" Social Security, to make the individual beneficiaries rather than the government responsible for the financial growth of their Social Security assets, mirroring the responsibility for decisions that many investors now make within their 401K and other retirement plans. Many areas of decision making and risk are likely to be transferred from the government to the individual. The consequences of uninformed investing may well prove considerable.

Active, Informed, Self-Management

The passive investor may place his investment capital into one or two well-known mutual funds, hoping for the long-term best. Perhaps he may rely on his stock brokerage to select his investment portfolio. In both cases, he is likely to be relying on management whose interests almost certainly lie with encouraging investor passivity, in promoting buy and hold strategies through thick and thin, and who, because of the large amount of capital and large numbers of investors under their management, will tend toward investing conformity. This approach may have been fine during the 1980s and 1990s, two outstanding decades for the stock market. It has not worked well since then and may or may not serve investor purposes in the future.

The actively managing investor may seek information—and even some guidance—from many sources. Such investors, however, will process and evaluate such information themselves, will come to their own decisions, and will act based on long- and short-term plans for investment that are modified as new investment opportunities develop and as old ones recede.

They will adapt a true management style, establishing long- and shorter-term investment objectives, balancing potential reward and risks, remaining flexible—ready to change course if and when investment conditions change. They will learn and apply investment techniques that are useful in this regard.

The purpose of this book is to help you become one of the they.

How This Book Will Help

Opportunity Investing has been structured to provide benefit to readers who have only limited inclination/time to monitor their investments and even more benefit to investors who are willing to put additional time and effort into their investment programs.

The initial sections of Opportunity Investing show you a range of more familiar and basic investment areas, profit potentials and pitfalls, and strategies for constructing portfolios for greater returns at lower risk. We review which investments are likely to produce greater returns during periods of inflation and which during periods of deflation. You will learn where you can secure high levels of income commensurate with risk and the benefits of and strategies associated with diversification (including diversification by time, investment sector, and geography). You will learn how to select open- and closed-end mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) most likely to succeed and will be provided with a "starter portfolio" of the less than 1% of mutual funds that have met certain criteria for long-term excellence in performance. You will also learn how you can improve your investing performance considerably—quite considerably—by the application of just one investment technique alone.

As the book progresses, more active and involved investors will learn general and investment-specific techniques of market timing—which are designed to help you know when to enter the various investment arenas and when to hold assets in cash and cash equivalents. You will learn how to measure the relative strength of different investments so that your portfolio may be rebalanced to emphasize those areas that are performing the best while de-emphasizing investment areas that are underperforming.

In short, you will first learn techniques designed to help you decide what to buy and how to structure your investment portfolio. This, alone, should improve your investment results. You will then learn when to invest and when to stand aside. This should further improve returns.

We live in a world of change, of challenges, and of opportunity. Let's move along now to enter into that world!

© Copyright Pearson Education. All rights reserved.

Read More Show Less

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