Party Competition: An Agent-Based Model

Party Competition: An Agent-Based Model

by Michael Laver
     
 

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ISBN-10: 0691139040

ISBN-13: 9780691139043

Pub. Date: 10/23/2011

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Party competition for votes in free and fair elections involves complex interactions by multiple actors in political landscapes that are continuously evolving, yet classical theoretical approaches to the subject leave many important questions unanswered. Here Michael Laver and Ernest Sergenti offer the first comprehensive treatment of party competition using the

Overview

Party competition for votes in free and fair elections involves complex interactions by multiple actors in political landscapes that are continuously evolving, yet classical theoretical approaches to the subject leave many important questions unanswered. Here Michael Laver and Ernest Sergenti offer the first comprehensive treatment of party competition using the computational techniques of agent-based modeling. This exciting new technology enables researchers to model competition between several different political parties for the support of voters with widely varying preferences on many different issues. Laver and Sergenti model party competition as a true dynamic process in which political parties rise and fall, a process where different politicians attack the same political problem in very different ways, and where today's political actors, lacking perfect information about the potential consequences of their choices, must constantly adapt their behavior to yesterday's political outcomes.

Party Competition shows how agent-based modeling can be used to accurately reflect how political systems really work. It demonstrates that politicians who are satisfied with relatively modest vote shares often do better at winning votes than rivals who search ceaselessly for higher shares of the vote. It reveals that politicians who pay close attention to their personal preferences when setting party policy often have more success than opponents who focus solely on the preferences of voters, that some politicians have idiosyncratic "valence" advantages that enhance their electability—and much more.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780691139043
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
Publication date:
10/23/2011
Series:
Princeton Studies in Complexity Series
Pages:
288
Product dimensions:
6.00(w) x 9.20(h) x 0.70(d)

Related Subjects

Table of Contents

Preface vii
Acknowledgments xiii

Part One: Preliminaries 1
Chapter 1. Modeling Multiparty Competition 3
Chapter 2. Spatial Dynamics of Political Competition 15
Chapter 3. A Baseline ABM of Party Competition 28 Chapter 4. Systematically Interrogating Agent-Based Models 56

Part Two: The Basic Model 83
Chapter 5. Benchmarking the Baseline Model 85
Chapter 6. Endogenous Parties, Interaction of Different Decision Rules 106
Chapter 7. New Decision Rules, New Rule Features 132

Part Three: Extensions and Empirics 157
Chapter 8. The Evolutionary Dynamics of Decision Rule Selection 159
Chapter 9. Nonpolicy Factors in Party Competition 183
Chapter 10. Party Leaders with Policy Preferences 206
Chapter 11. Using Theoretical Models to Analyze Real Party Systems 228
Chapter 12. In Conclusion 258

References 267
Index 275

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