Pendulum Swing

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Renowned political analyst Larry J. Sabato once again brings together the nation's most insightful analysts and astute observers of American politics to examine the Pendulum Swing midterm elections of 2010.

Pendulum Swing dissects the political momentum that lead to significant Republican gains in the Senate, House, and Governorships. While many political observers offer only a high-level overview of the events and factors that shape the outcome, Dr. Sabato and his team of contributing experts delve into the overlooked details to offer unique analysis from several different angles.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780205098927
  • Publisher: Pearson
  • Publication date: 2/2/2011
  • Pages: 416
  • Sales rank: 984,401
  • Product dimensions: 5.40 (w) x 8.40 (h) x 1.00 (d)

Meet the Author

Larry J. Sabato is founder and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. A renowned political prognosticator, he correctly projected–as early as July 2008–that Barack Obama would win the Presidency in a near-landslide. He predicted a 364-174 margin in the Electoral College, just one vote away from the final tally of 365-173, and forecasted President Obama's exact 53% popular vote margin. He accurately predicted 99% of Senate, House, and Governor winners in both the 2006 and 2008 elections.
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Table of Contents

Pendulum Swing Authors and Affiliations

Preface—Dr. Larry Sabato, Founder and Director of the UVa’s Center for Politics and Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia

Acknowledgements—Dr. Sabato

Part 1: The Big Picture

Chapter 1—Dr. Larry Sabato “Pendulum Swing chapter

Chapter 2—Dr. Alan Abramowitz, Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science at Emory University and senior columnist for Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball” Discusses his electoral prediction model and how this election’s results fit in

Chapter 3—Rhodes Cook, Editor of the Rhodes Cook Letter and senior columnist for Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball”

Overview of Senate races

Chapter 4—Dr. Thad Beyle, Thomas J. Pearsall Professor of Political Science at theUniversity of North Carolina

Overview of gubernatorial races

Chapter 5—Isaac Wood, Director of Communications at UVa’s Center for Politics and Editor of the “Crystal Ball”

Overview of House races

Part 2: Money and Media

Chapter 6—Dr. Michael Cornfield, VP of Research and Media Strategy at 720 Strategies

Examine how corporations, non-profits, unions, and other organizations will approach campaign finance as a result of the recent Supreme Court ruling

Chapter 7—Michael Toner, Former Chairman of the FEC (2006) and currently Head of the Election Law and Government Ethics Practice at Bryan Cave LLP

A numerical rundown of campaign finance in the elections; where it came from, where it went, and how much, and any visible trends

Chapter 8—Dr. Diana Owen, Associate Professor of Communication, Culture, and Technology atGeorgetown University

Media and the Campaign

Part 3: Senate and Gubernatorial Races

Chapter 9—California senate and governor:

Dr. Jack Pitney, Crocker Professor of Politics at Claremont McKenna College

Chapter 10—Colorado senate and governor:

Dr. Seth Masket, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Denver

Chapter 11Delaware senate:

Dr. Sam Hoff, George Washington Distinguished Professor of Political Science at Delaware State University

Chapter 12—Florida senate and governor:

Dr. Susan MacManus, Distinguished Professor of Government and Int’l Affairs at the University of South Florida

Chapter 13—Illinois senate and governor:

Dr. Paul Green, Arthur Rubloff Professor of Policy Studies at Roosevelt University

Chapter 14—Indiana senate:

Brian Howey, Editor of the Howey Political Report

Chapter 15Iowa governor:

Dr. Caroline Tolbert, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Iowa

Chapter 16—Kentucky senate:

Dr. Laurie Rhodebeck, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Louisville

Chapter 17—Maryland governor:

Dr. Paul Herrnson, Director of the Center for American Politics and Citizenship; and Distinguished Scholar-Teacher at the University of Maryland College Park

Dr. Thomas Schaller, Professor of Political Science at the University of Maryland Baltimore County

Ch Chapter 18—Massachusetts governor:

Dr. Agnes Bain, Professor of Government at Suffolk University

Chapter 19—Michigan governor:

Dr. Michael Traugott, Professor of Communication Studies; and Research Professor at the Center for Political Studies at the University of Michigan

Chapter 20—Missouri senate:

Jo Mannies, Senior political reporter at the St. Louis Beacon

Chapter 21—Nevada senate and governor:

Jon Ralston, Political columnist at the Las Vegas Sun and host of the TV program “Face to Face with Jon Ralston”

Chapter 22—New Hampshire senate:

Dr. Dante Scala, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of New Hampshire

Chapter 23—New York governor:

Dr. Jeffrey Stonecash, Maxwell Professor of Political Science at Syracuse University

Chapter 24—Ohio senate and governor:

Jonathan Riskind, Washington Bureau Chief of the Columbus Dispatch

Joe Hallett, Senior Editor of the Columbus Dispatch

Chapter 25—Pennsylvania senate and governor:

Dr. G. Terry Madonna, Director of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs; and Professor of Public Affairs at Franklin and Marshall College

Chapter 26—Rhode Island governor:

Steve Peoples, State House reporter at The Providence Journal

Chapter 27—South Carolina governor:

John O’Connor, Political columnist at The State newspaper

Chapter 28—Texas governor:

Jay Root, Political reporter at the Associated Press

Part 4: Conclusions, Dr. Sabato

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  • Posted January 25, 2011

    A good read on the midterm elections and 2012 predictions

    I just finished reading Pendulum Swing and I was pleasantly surprised with the authors. My favorite was Diana Owen. She has a witty, tell it like it is way of expressing herself that makes for lively political reading. Michael Cornfield also wrote a good chapter with an interesting analogy of campaign spending. Other chapters used tables and charts to help understand the past and predict 2012.
    I think Mr. Sabato put a great mix of political minds together to create a book that helps reference the midterm elections and give some new perspectives on where we may be headed in 2012.

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  • Posted January 25, 2011

    Great Book!

    Just in time for the start of this new Congress. Helpful guide to where we've been and where we're headed...politically. Sabato and company offer lots to think about.

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